Traders assign the highest probability to 120-125 million House votes in the 2026 midterms, with the adjacent 130 million-plus bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of turnout in line with recent midterm cycles. Polarization and high engagement among core partisan voters support the upper end of this range, while the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot typically moderates overall participation compared with presidential years. State voting rules, early voting expansions, and economic conditions remain key variables that could shift mobilization. With probabilities clustered tightly, modest changes in polling trends or campaign intensity ahead of primaries may determine whether totals settle nearer 120 million or push higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.3亿+ 44%
少于8500万 19.1%
1.15亿-1.2亿 15%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
19%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
13%
1.15亿-1.2亿
15%
1.2亿-1.25亿
24%
1.25亿-1.3亿
20%
1.3亿+
29%
1.3亿+ 44%
少于8500万 19.1%
1.15亿-1.2亿 15%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$391 交易量
19%
8500万-9000万
$423 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,552 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$269 交易量
1%
1亿-1.05亿
$809 交易量
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$436 交易量
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$549 交易量
13%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$1,081 交易量
15%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$408 交易量
24%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,204 交易量
20%
1.3亿+
$318 交易量
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Traders assign the highest probability to 120-125 million House votes in the 2026 midterms, with the adjacent 130 million-plus bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of turnout in line with recent midterm cycles. Polarization and high engagement among core partisan voters support the upper end of this range, while the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot typically moderates overall participation compared with presidential years. State voting rules, early voting expansions, and economic conditions remain key variables that could shift mobilization. With probabilities clustered tightly, modest changes in polling trends or campaign intensity ahead of primaries may determine whether totals settle nearer 120 million or push higher.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,439结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Traders assign the highest probability to 120-125 million House votes in the 2026 midterms, with the adjacent 130 million-plus bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of turnout in line with recent midterm cycles. Polarization and high engagement among core partisan voters support the upper end of this range, while the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot typically moderates overall participation compared with presidential years. State voting rules, early voting expansions, and economic conditions remain key variables that could shift mobilization. With probabilities clustered tightly, modest changes in polling trends or campaign intensity ahead of primaries may determine whether totals settle nearer 120 million or push higher.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,439结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to 120-125 million House votes in the 2026 midterms, with the adjacent 130 million-plus bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of turnout in line with recent midterm cycles. Polarization and high engagement among core partisan voters support the upper end of this range, while the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot typically moderates overall participation compared with presidential years. State voting rules, early voting expansions, and economic conditions remain key variables that could shift mobilization. With probabilities clustered tightly, modest changes in polling trends or campaign intensity ahead of primaries may determine whether totals settle nearer 120 million or push higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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