**Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million total House votes in the November 2026 midterms because the contest has nationalized into a referendum on the Trump administration amid narrow Republican majorities and Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot.** Low presidential approval, economic discontent over affordability, and stronger Democratic primary and special-election turnout have boosted mobilization expectations relative to historical midterms (typically 100-115 million votes), while Republican efforts to re-engage 2024 low-propensity working-class and Hispanic voters introduce countervailing uncertainty. The diploma divide and youth registration trends further complicate projections, as higher-education cohorts lean Democratic in off-year elections. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on pocketbook issues could lift participation if enthusiasm gaps widen, whereas uneven base mobilization on either side could compress totals toward the lower end of leading ranges. Resolution depends on official Clerk of the House vote totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.25亿-1.3亿 23%
1.15亿-1.2亿 20%
1.2亿-1.25亿 19%
1.10亿-1.15亿 14%
$28,236 交易量
$28,236 交易量
2026-11-02
少于8500万
1%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
3%
1亿-1.05亿
6%
1.05亿-1.1亿
7%
1.10亿-1.15亿
14%
1.15亿-1.2亿
20%
1.2亿-1.25亿
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
23%
1.3亿+
5%
1.25亿-1.3亿 23%
1.15亿-1.2亿 20%
1.2亿-1.25亿 19%
1.10亿-1.15亿 14%
$28,236 交易量
$28,236 交易量
2026-11-02
少于8500万
$603 交易量
1%
8500万-9000万
$609 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,723 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$380 交易量
3%
1亿-1.05亿
$1,195 交易量
6%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$931 交易量
7%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$4,475 交易量
14%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$4,662 交易量
20%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$8,991 交易量
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$3,301 交易量
23%
1.3亿+
$1,366 交易量
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.**Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million total House votes in the November 2026 midterms because the contest has nationalized into a referendum on the Trump administration amid narrow Republican majorities and Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot.** Low presidential approval, economic discontent over affordability, and stronger Democratic primary and special-election turnout have boosted mobilization expectations relative to historical midterms (typically 100-115 million votes), while Republican efforts to re-engage 2024 low-propensity working-class and Hispanic voters introduce countervailing uncertainty. The diploma divide and youth registration trends further complicate projections, as higher-education cohorts lean Democratic in off-year elections. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on pocketbook issues could lift participation if enthusiasm gaps widen, whereas uneven base mobilization on either side could compress totals toward the lower end of leading ranges. Resolution depends on official Clerk of the House vote totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$28,236结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETThe US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.**Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million total House votes in the November 2026 midterms because the contest has nationalized into a referendum on the Trump administration amid narrow Republican majorities and Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot.** Low presidential approval, economic discontent over affordability, and stronger Democratic primary and special-election turnout have boosted mobilization expectations relative to historical midterms (typically 100-115 million votes), while Republican efforts to re-engage 2024 low-propensity working-class and Hispanic voters introduce countervailing uncertainty. The diploma divide and youth registration trends further complicate projections, as higher-education cohorts lean Democratic in off-year elections. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on pocketbook issues could lift participation if enthusiasm gaps widen, whereas uneven base mobilization on either side could compress totals toward the lower end of leading ranges. Resolution depends on official Clerk of the House vote totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$28,236结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET**Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million total House votes in the November 2026 midterms because the contest has nationalized into a referendum on the Trump administration amid narrow Republican majorities and Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot.** Low presidential approval, economic discontent over affordability, and stronger Democratic primary and special-election turnout have boosted mobilization expectations relative to historical midterms (typically 100-115 million votes), while Republican efforts to re-engage 2024 low-propensity working-class and Hispanic voters introduce countervailing uncertainty. The diploma divide and youth registration trends further complicate projections, as higher-education cohorts lean Democratic in off-year elections. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on pocketbook issues could lift participation if enthusiasm gaps widen, whereas uneven base mobilization on either side could compress totals toward the lower end of leading ranges. Resolution depends on official Clerk of the House vote totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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