Voter engagement in the 2026 House elections remains uncertain amid partisan polarization, with recent polling showing strong Democratic intent among youth and independents alongside more variable Republican enthusiasm. Historical midterm turnout has ranged from roughly 110 million ballots in 2022 to higher levels in 2018, influenced by national political climate and demographic mobilization patterns. Special election results and surveys indicating sustained interest among higher-propensity groups support trader focus on the 120–130 million range, while questions over overall participation rates due to trust issues and economic factors keep probabilities closely split across those brackets. Upcoming primaries and campaign developments through the fall could further clarify mobilization trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.3亿+ 44%
1.2亿-1.25亿 30%
少于8500万 19.6%
1.15亿-1.2亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
20%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
13%
1.15亿-1.2亿
15%
1.2亿-1.25亿
30%
1.25亿-1.3亿
21%
1.3亿+
29%
1.3亿+ 44%
1.2亿-1.25亿 30%
少于8500万 19.6%
1.15亿-1.2亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$386 交易量
20%
8500万-9000万
$419 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,552 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$269 交易量
1%
1亿-1.05亿
$809 交易量
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$436 交易量
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$549 交易量
13%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$1,081 交易量
15%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$408 交易量
30%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,204 交易量
21%
1.3亿+
$318 交易量
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Voter engagement in the 2026 House elections remains uncertain amid partisan polarization, with recent polling showing strong Democratic intent among youth and independents alongside more variable Republican enthusiasm. Historical midterm turnout has ranged from roughly 110 million ballots in 2022 to higher levels in 2018, influenced by national political climate and demographic mobilization patterns. Special election results and surveys indicating sustained interest among higher-propensity groups support trader focus on the 120–130 million range, while questions over overall participation rates due to trust issues and economic factors keep probabilities closely split across those brackets. Upcoming primaries and campaign developments through the fall could further clarify mobilization trends.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,430结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Voter engagement in the 2026 House elections remains uncertain amid partisan polarization, with recent polling showing strong Democratic intent among youth and independents alongside more variable Republican enthusiasm. Historical midterm turnout has ranged from roughly 110 million ballots in 2022 to higher levels in 2018, influenced by national political climate and demographic mobilization patterns. Special election results and surveys indicating sustained interest among higher-propensity groups support trader focus on the 120–130 million range, while questions over overall participation rates due to trust issues and economic factors keep probabilities closely split across those brackets. Upcoming primaries and campaign developments through the fall could further clarify mobilization trends.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,430结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Voter engagement in the 2026 House elections remains uncertain amid partisan polarization, with recent polling showing strong Democratic intent among youth and independents alongside more variable Republican enthusiasm. Historical midterm turnout has ranged from roughly 110 million ballots in 2022 to higher levels in 2018, influenced by national political climate and demographic mobilization patterns. Special election results and surveys indicating sustained interest among higher-propensity groups support trader focus on the 120–130 million range, while questions over overall participation rates due to trust issues and economic factors keep probabilities closely split across those brackets. Upcoming primaries and campaign developments through the fall could further clarify mobilization trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题