**Midterm turnout dynamics center on historical patterns of 46-50% voting-eligible population participation, tempered by current factors five months out.** Generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, aligning with typical losses for the president's party and potentially boosting opposition mobilization in competitive districts. Special election results reveal a persistent Democratic enthusiasm edge, with higher retention of 2024 voters compared to Republicans, while education and demographic shifts favor more consistent turnout among college-educated groups. Early primary season activity, voter registration trends, and economic concerns like cost of living add uncertainty over whether overall participation reaches the higher end of recent cycles or settles near 2022 levels. Resolution hinges on fall campaign intensity, approval rating movements, and any late shifts in swing-state engagement that could separate the closely matched 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.3亿+ 44%
少于8500万 19.0%
1.15亿-1.2亿 15%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
19%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
13%
1.15亿-1.2亿
15%
1.2亿-1.25亿
28%
1.25亿-1.3亿
20%
1.3亿+
28%
1.3亿+ 44%
少于8500万 19.0%
1.15亿-1.2亿 15%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$391 交易量
19%
8500万-9000万
$423 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,552 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$269 交易量
1%
1亿-1.05亿
$809 交易量
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$436 交易量
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$549 交易量
13%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$1,081 交易量
15%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$408 交易量
28%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,204 交易量
20%
1.3亿+
$318 交易量
28%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.**Midterm turnout dynamics center on historical patterns of 46-50% voting-eligible population participation, tempered by current factors five months out.** Generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, aligning with typical losses for the president's party and potentially boosting opposition mobilization in competitive districts. Special election results reveal a persistent Democratic enthusiasm edge, with higher retention of 2024 voters compared to Republicans, while education and demographic shifts favor more consistent turnout among college-educated groups. Early primary season activity, voter registration trends, and economic concerns like cost of living add uncertainty over whether overall participation reaches the higher end of recent cycles or settles near 2022 levels. Resolution hinges on fall campaign intensity, approval rating movements, and any late shifts in swing-state engagement that could separate the closely matched 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,440结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.**Midterm turnout dynamics center on historical patterns of 46-50% voting-eligible population participation, tempered by current factors five months out.** Generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, aligning with typical losses for the president's party and potentially boosting opposition mobilization in competitive districts. Special election results reveal a persistent Democratic enthusiasm edge, with higher retention of 2024 voters compared to Republicans, while education and demographic shifts favor more consistent turnout among college-educated groups. Early primary season activity, voter registration trends, and economic concerns like cost of living add uncertainty over whether overall participation reaches the higher end of recent cycles or settles near 2022 levels. Resolution hinges on fall campaign intensity, approval rating movements, and any late shifts in swing-state engagement that could separate the closely matched 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,440结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Midterm turnout dynamics center on historical patterns of 46-50% voting-eligible population participation, tempered by current factors five months out.** Generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, aligning with typical losses for the president's party and potentially boosting opposition mobilization in competitive districts. Special election results reveal a persistent Democratic enthusiasm edge, with higher retention of 2024 voters compared to Republicans, while education and demographic shifts favor more consistent turnout among college-educated groups. Early primary season activity, voter registration trends, and economic concerns like cost of living add uncertainty over whether overall participation reaches the higher end of recent cycles or settles near 2022 levels. Resolution hinges on fall campaign intensity, approval rating movements, and any late shifts in swing-state engagement that could separate the closely matched 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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