The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, driving the 71% trader consensus on its victory. Among francophone voters, the PQ holds a clear edge in voting intentions, supported by projections showing potential majority or minority government outcomes in the National Assembly. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation, has recovered modestly to around 18-21% but trails significantly. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive at 25-27% overall yet lacks broad francophone support, while smaller parties like Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register minimal shares. With roughly half of decided voters still open to changing preferences two months out, the race reflects ongoing volatility in a first-past-the-post system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 71%
魁人党 19%
魁北克自由党 12%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$736,939 交易量
$736,939 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
71%
魁人党
19%
魁北克自由党
12%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 71%
魁人党 19%
魁北克自由党 12%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$736,939 交易量
$736,939 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$78,238 交易量
71%
魁人党
$107,638 交易量
19%
魁北克自由党
$98,860 交易量
12%
魁北克保守党
$203,659 交易量
<1%
魁团
$91,047 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,498 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, driving the 71% trader consensus on its victory. Among francophone voters, the PQ holds a clear edge in voting intentions, supported by projections showing potential majority or minority government outcomes in the National Assembly. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation, has recovered modestly to around 18-21% but trails significantly. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive at 25-27% overall yet lacks broad francophone support, while smaller parties like Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register minimal shares. With roughly half of decided voters still open to changing preferences two months out, the race reflects ongoing volatility in a first-past-the-post system.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$736,939结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, driving the 71% trader consensus on its victory. Among francophone voters, the PQ holds a clear edge in voting intentions, supported by projections showing potential majority or minority government outcomes in the National Assembly. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation, has recovered modestly to around 18-21% but trails significantly. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive at 25-27% overall yet lacks broad francophone support, while smaller parties like Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register minimal shares. With roughly half of decided voters still open to changing preferences two months out, the race reflects ongoing volatility in a first-past-the-post system.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$736,939结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, driving the 71% trader consensus on its victory. Among francophone voters, the PQ holds a clear edge in voting intentions, supported by projections showing potential majority or minority government outcomes in the National Assembly. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation, has recovered modestly to around 18-21% but trails significantly. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive at 25-27% overall yet lacks broad francophone support, while smaller parties like Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register minimal shares. With roughly half of decided voters still open to changing preferences two months out, the race reflects ongoing volatility in a first-past-the-post system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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