Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the October 17 municipal election, supported by his established party organization and record on property tax restraint, though his approval ratings have remained underwater in recent surveys amid concerns over housing and public safety. Pete Fry of the Green Party has consolidated support from the left-leaning bloc after COPE’s Stephanie Allen and OneCity’s William Azaroff withdrew in early September and backed him as the unified progressive challenger, narrowing the field and lifting his implied probability. Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals draws notable backing as a moderate alternative, while smaller shares for candidates such as Colleen Hardwick and others reflect a fragmented remainder of the vote. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts among undecided voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于肯·沈 51%
皮特·弗莱 33.5%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 11%
科琳·哈德威克 2.7%
$189,978 交易量
$189,978 交易量
肯·沈
51%
皮特·弗莱
33%
卡里姆·阿拉姆
11%
科琳·哈德威克
3%
约翰·库帕
2%
斯蒂芬妮·艾伦
1%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
<1%
肖恩·奥尔
<1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
弗雷德·哈丁
<1%
肯·沈 51%
皮特·弗莱 33.5%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 11%
科琳·哈德威克 2.7%
$189,978 交易量
$189,978 交易量
肯·沈
51%
皮特·弗莱
33%
卡里姆·阿拉姆
11%
科琳·哈德威克
3%
约翰·库帕
2%
斯蒂芬妮·艾伦
1%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
<1%
肖恩·奥尔
<1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
弗雷德·哈丁
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the October 17 municipal election, supported by his established party organization and record on property tax restraint, though his approval ratings have remained underwater in recent surveys amid concerns over housing and public safety. Pete Fry of the Green Party has consolidated support from the left-leaning bloc after COPE’s Stephanie Allen and OneCity’s William Azaroff withdrew in early September and backed him as the unified progressive challenger, narrowing the field and lifting his implied probability. Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals draws notable backing as a moderate alternative, while smaller shares for candidates such as Colleen Hardwick and others reflect a fragmented remainder of the vote. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts among undecided voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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