Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the October 17, 2026, Vancouver mayoral election, reflecting his established organizational base and record on issues such as housing affordability and public safety. The most recent catalyst is the September 8 withdrawal of OneCity candidate William Azaroff, who endorsed Green Party Councillor Pete Fry and helped consolidate support from COPE and other progressive parties behind a single challenger. Earlier summer polling showed a fragmented field with high undecided shares and mixed results between Sim and Fry, while centrist options like Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam continue to draw smaller shares that could influence vote splits. Traders appear to weigh Sim’s incumbency edge and party infrastructure more heavily than the recent opposition unification ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于肯·沈 53%
皮特·弗莱 34.2%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 8%
约翰·库帕 1.7%
$193,251 交易量
$193,251 交易量
肯·沈
53%
皮特·弗莱
34%
卡里姆·阿拉姆
8%
约翰·库帕
2%
科琳·哈德威克
2%
斯蒂芬妮·艾伦
1%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
弗雷德·哈丁
1%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
1%
肖恩·奥尔
<1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
肯·沈 53%
皮特·弗莱 34.2%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 8%
约翰·库帕 1.7%
$193,251 交易量
$193,251 交易量
肯·沈
53%
皮特·弗莱
34%
卡里姆·阿拉姆
8%
约翰·库帕
2%
科琳·哈德威克
2%
斯蒂芬妮·艾伦
1%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
弗雷德·哈丁
1%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
1%
肖恩·奥尔
<1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the October 17, 2026, Vancouver mayoral election, reflecting his established organizational base and record on issues such as housing affordability and public safety. The most recent catalyst is the September 8 withdrawal of OneCity candidate William Azaroff, who endorsed Green Party Councillor Pete Fry and helped consolidate support from COPE and other progressive parties behind a single challenger. Earlier summer polling showed a fragmented field with high undecided shares and mixed results between Sim and Fry, while centrist options like Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam continue to draw smaller shares that could influence vote splits. Traders appear to weigh Sim’s incumbency edge and party infrastructure more heavily than the recent opposition unification ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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