Texas voters face a closely contested U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, with Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico locked in a virtual tie according to recent polling averages. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, though his past impeachment and legal matters have drawn sustained opposition spending. Talarico, who won his primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has built a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million and polls competitively among independents and Hispanic voters on issues such as child care costs and crime policy. Upcoming debates scheduled for late September and October, along with Republican convention events in Dallas, represent near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus reflected in the even odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,027,616 交易量
$1,027,616 交易量
2026-11-02
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
51%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
51%
$1,027,616 交易量
$1,027,616 交易量
2026-11-02
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$466,154 交易量
51%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$561,462 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas voters face a closely contested U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, with Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico locked in a virtual tie according to recent polling averages. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, though his past impeachment and legal matters have drawn sustained opposition spending. Talarico, who won his primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has built a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million and polls competitively among independents and Hispanic voters on issues such as child care costs and crime policy. Upcoming debates scheduled for late September and October, along with Republican convention events in Dallas, represent near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus reflected in the even odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,027,616结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas voters face a closely contested U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, with Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico locked in a virtual tie according to recent polling averages. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, though his past impeachment and legal matters have drawn sustained opposition spending. Talarico, who won his primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has built a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million and polls competitively among independents and Hispanic voters on issues such as child care costs and crime policy. Upcoming debates scheduled for late September and October, along with Republican convention events in Dallas, represent near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus reflected in the even odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,027,616结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETTexas voters face a closely contested U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, with Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico locked in a virtual tie according to recent polling averages. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, though his past impeachment and legal matters have drawn sustained opposition spending. Talarico, who won his primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has built a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million and polls competitively among independents and Hispanic voters on issues such as child care costs and crime policy. Upcoming debates scheduled for late September and October, along with Republican convention events in Dallas, represent near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus reflected in the even odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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