Ken Paxton's decisive May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the frontrunner in the November general election for U.S. Senate. Traders price Paxton at 59.5 percent amid Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests and the nominee's momentum from primary turnout, though Paxton's legal history has kept the race competitive. James Talarico, who secured the Democratic nomination earlier, has shifted to general-election messaging highlighting corruption concerns while leveraging his profile as a state lawmaker. Recent polling averages reflect a tighter contest than typical partisan baselines, with Cook Political Report rating the seat Lean Republican following the primary. The November 3 ballot and any late campaign developments remain key variables in the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$472,183 交易量
$472,183 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
60%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
41%
$472,183 交易量
$472,183 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$272,003 交易量
60%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$200,180 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the frontrunner in the November general election for U.S. Senate. Traders price Paxton at 59.5 percent amid Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests and the nominee's momentum from primary turnout, though Paxton's legal history has kept the race competitive. James Talarico, who secured the Democratic nomination earlier, has shifted to general-election messaging highlighting corruption concerns while leveraging his profile as a state lawmaker. Recent polling averages reflect a tighter contest than typical partisan baselines, with Cook Political Report rating the seat Lean Republican following the primary. The November 3 ballot and any late campaign developments remain key variables in the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$472,183结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the frontrunner in the November general election for U.S. Senate. Traders price Paxton at 59.5 percent amid Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests and the nominee's momentum from primary turnout, though Paxton's legal history has kept the race competitive. James Talarico, who secured the Democratic nomination earlier, has shifted to general-election messaging highlighting corruption concerns while leveraging his profile as a state lawmaker. Recent polling averages reflect a tighter contest than typical partisan baselines, with Cook Political Report rating the seat Lean Republican following the primary. The November 3 ballot and any late campaign developments remain key variables in the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$472,183结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton's decisive May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Donald Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the frontrunner in the November general election for U.S. Senate. Traders price Paxton at 59.5 percent amid Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in federal contests and the nominee's momentum from primary turnout, though Paxton's legal history has kept the race competitive. James Talarico, who secured the Democratic nomination earlier, has shifted to general-election messaging highlighting corruption concerns while leveraging his profile as a state lawmaker. Recent polling averages reflect a tighter contest than typical partisan baselines, with Cook Political Report rating the seat Lean Republican following the primary. The November 3 ballot and any late campaign developments remain key variables in the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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