Julia Letlow secured the Republican nomination for Louisiana’s open Senate seat in the June 2026 runoff, defeating state Treasurer John Fleming after finishing first in the May primary with President Trump’s early endorsement and backing from Gov. Jeff Landry and other state GOP leaders. She now faces Democrat Jamie Davis, a northeast Louisiana farmer who won his party’s nomination by a wide margin, in the November 3 general election. Louisiana’s strong Republican tilt—evident in Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin and the absence of a Democratic Senate win since 2008—has produced the wide pricing gap, reflecting trader assessments of structural partisan advantage and Letlow’s established congressional profile. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in the state limit the likelihood of an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于路易斯安那州参议院选举获胜者
路易斯安那州参议院选举获胜者
$35,499 交易量
$35,499 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉娅·莱特洛（共和党）
93%
杰米·戴维斯（民主党）
7%
$35,499 交易量
$35,499 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉娅·莱特洛（共和党）
$14,181 交易量
93%
杰米·戴维斯（民主党）
$21,318 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Julia Letlow secured the Republican nomination for Louisiana’s open Senate seat in the June 2026 runoff, defeating state Treasurer John Fleming after finishing first in the May primary with President Trump’s early endorsement and backing from Gov. Jeff Landry and other state GOP leaders. She now faces Democrat Jamie Davis, a northeast Louisiana farmer who won his party’s nomination by a wide margin, in the November 3 general election. Louisiana’s strong Republican tilt—evident in Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin and the absence of a Democratic Senate win since 2008—has produced the wide pricing gap, reflecting trader assessments of structural partisan advantage and Letlow’s established congressional profile. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in the state limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$35,499结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Julia Letlow secured the Republican nomination for Louisiana’s open Senate seat in the June 2026 runoff, defeating state Treasurer John Fleming after finishing first in the May primary with President Trump’s early endorsement and backing from Gov. Jeff Landry and other state GOP leaders. She now faces Democrat Jamie Davis, a northeast Louisiana farmer who won his party’s nomination by a wide margin, in the November 3 general election. Louisiana’s strong Republican tilt—evident in Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin and the absence of a Democratic Senate win since 2008—has produced the wide pricing gap, reflecting trader assessments of structural partisan advantage and Letlow’s established congressional profile. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in the state limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$35,499结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETJulia Letlow secured the Republican nomination for Louisiana’s open Senate seat in the June 2026 runoff, defeating state Treasurer John Fleming after finishing first in the May primary with President Trump’s early endorsement and backing from Gov. Jeff Landry and other state GOP leaders. She now faces Democrat Jamie Davis, a northeast Louisiana farmer who won his party’s nomination by a wide margin, in the November 3 general election. Louisiana’s strong Republican tilt—evident in Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin and the absence of a Democratic Senate win since 2008—has produced the wide pricing gap, reflecting trader assessments of structural partisan advantage and Letlow’s established congressional profile. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in the state limit the likelihood of an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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