Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise’s long-held seat in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a reliably conservative area covering New Orleans suburbs with a strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP, underpins the heavy trader consensus for a Republican victory. Scalise qualified early for the 2026 race and faces only a minor intra-party primary challenge alongside limited Democratic opposition. Louisiana’s election calendar, including the November primary and potential runoff, further reinforces expectations of continued Republican control absent major disruption. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the midterm environment that narrows historical margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,648 交易量
$37,648 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$37,648 交易量
$37,648 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,151 交易量
91%
民主党
$21,498 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise’s long-held seat in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a reliably conservative area covering New Orleans suburbs with a strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP, underpins the heavy trader consensus for a Republican victory. Scalise qualified early for the 2026 race and faces only a minor intra-party primary challenge alongside limited Democratic opposition. Louisiana’s election calendar, including the November primary and potential runoff, further reinforces expectations of continued Republican control absent major disruption. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the midterm environment that narrows historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$37,648结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise’s long-held seat in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a reliably conservative area covering New Orleans suburbs with a strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP, underpins the heavy trader consensus for a Republican victory. Scalise qualified early for the 2026 race and faces only a minor intra-party primary challenge alongside limited Democratic opposition. Louisiana’s election calendar, including the November primary and potential runoff, further reinforces expectations of continued Republican control absent major disruption. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the midterm environment that narrows historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,648结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise’s long-held seat in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a reliably conservative area covering New Orleans suburbs with a strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP, underpins the heavy trader consensus for a Republican victory. Scalise qualified early for the 2026 race and faces only a minor intra-party primary challenge alongside limited Democratic opposition. Louisiana’s election calendar, including the November primary and potential runoff, further reinforces expectations of continued Republican control absent major disruption. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the midterm environment that narrows historical margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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