Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,648 交易量
$37,648 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$37,648 交易量
$37,648 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,151 交易量
91%
民主党
$21,498 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$37,648结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,648结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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