Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election shows Labour and National running neck-and-neck on the party vote, with several August surveys placing Labour narrowly ahead or tied. This has shifted trader consensus toward Labour as the likeliest largest party or government-forming bloc under MMP rules. The incumbent National-led coalition with ACT and New Zealand First retains competitive positioning in other surveys, though National support has slipped below 30 percent in the latest Curia poll while ACT has risen. Minor parties including Greens and the Opportunities Party remain relevant to bloc totals but show little chance of finishing first in seats. The race remains sensitive to final-week swings in undecided voters and electorate outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 56%
National Party 44%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,687 交易量
$59,687 交易量
2026-11-06
National Party
44%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 44%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,687 交易量
$59,687 交易量
2026-11-06
National Party
$24,334 交易量
44%
Labour Party
$19,161 交易量
56%
Green Party
$4,208 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,166 交易量
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 交易量
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,245 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election shows Labour and National running neck-and-neck on the party vote, with several August surveys placing Labour narrowly ahead or tied. This has shifted trader consensus toward Labour as the likeliest largest party or government-forming bloc under MMP rules. The incumbent National-led coalition with ACT and New Zealand First retains competitive positioning in other surveys, though National support has slipped below 30 percent in the latest Curia poll while ACT has risen. Minor parties including Greens and the Opportunities Party remain relevant to bloc totals but show little chance of finishing first in seats. The race remains sensitive to final-week swings in undecided voters and electorate outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$59,687结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETA general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election shows Labour and National running neck-and-neck on the party vote, with several August surveys placing Labour narrowly ahead or tied. This has shifted trader consensus toward Labour as the likeliest largest party or government-forming bloc under MMP rules. The incumbent National-led coalition with ACT and New Zealand First retains competitive positioning in other surveys, though National support has slipped below 30 percent in the latest Curia poll while ACT has risen. Minor parties including Greens and the Opportunities Party remain relevant to bloc totals but show little chance of finishing first in seats. The race remains sensitive to final-week swings in undecided voters and electorate outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$59,687结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRecent polling for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election shows Labour and National running neck-and-neck on the party vote, with several August surveys placing Labour narrowly ahead or tied. This has shifted trader consensus toward Labour as the likeliest largest party or government-forming bloc under MMP rules. The incumbent National-led coalition with ACT and New Zealand First retains competitive positioning in other surveys, though National support has slipped below 30 percent in the latest Curia poll while ACT has risen. Minor parties including Greens and the Opportunities Party remain relevant to bloc totals but show little chance of finishing first in seats. The race remains sensitive to final-week swings in undecided voters and electorate outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于相关
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警惕外部链接哦。
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