Recent polling for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election consistently places the Social Democrats first, Sweden Democrats second, and the Moderate Party third, with the latter two parties separated by a narrow margin in most surveys. Trader consensus on Moderate Party third-place odds reflects this stable ordering, driven by the governing bloc’s gradual erosion of support since 2022 and the opposition’s consistent lead. The Sweden Democrats retain a narrow edge over the Moderates in the latest August readings from Verian, Demoskop, and Novus, keeping open the possibility of a reversal that would shift third place. Smaller parties remain well behind, with negligible probabilities of finishing third. The three-week window before election day leaves limited room for late swings to alter the current ranking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Moderate Party (M) 66%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 35%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$48,543 交易量
$48,543 交易量
2026-09-12
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
35%
Moderate Party (M)
66%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 66%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 35%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$48,543 交易量
$48,543 交易量
2026-09-12
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$3,199 交易量
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$8,840 交易量
35%
Moderate Party (M)
$16,328 交易量
66%
Centre Party (C)
$3,217 交易量
<1%
Left Party (V)
$4,272 交易量
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 交易量
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,500 交易量
1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 交易量
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election consistently places the Social Democrats first, Sweden Democrats second, and the Moderate Party third, with the latter two parties separated by a narrow margin in most surveys. Trader consensus on Moderate Party third-place odds reflects this stable ordering, driven by the governing bloc’s gradual erosion of support since 2022 and the opposition’s consistent lead. The Sweden Democrats retain a narrow edge over the Moderates in the latest August readings from Verian, Demoskop, and Novus, keeping open the possibility of a reversal that would shift third place. Smaller parties remain well behind, with negligible probabilities of finishing third. The three-week window before election day leaves limited room for late swings to alter the current ranking.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$48,543结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election consistently places the Social Democrats first, Sweden Democrats second, and the Moderate Party third, with the latter two parties separated by a narrow margin in most surveys. Trader consensus on Moderate Party third-place odds reflects this stable ordering, driven by the governing bloc’s gradual erosion of support since 2022 and the opposition’s consistent lead. The Sweden Democrats retain a narrow edge over the Moderates in the latest August readings from Verian, Demoskop, and Novus, keeping open the possibility of a reversal that would shift third place. Smaller parties remain well behind, with negligible probabilities of finishing third. The three-week window before election day leaves limited room for late swings to alter the current ranking.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$48,543结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election consistently places the Social Democrats first, Sweden Democrats second, and the Moderate Party third, with the latter two parties separated by a narrow margin in most surveys. Trader consensus on Moderate Party third-place odds reflects this stable ordering, driven by the governing bloc’s gradual erosion of support since 2022 and the opposition’s consistent lead. The Sweden Democrats retain a narrow edge over the Moderates in the latest August readings from Verian, Demoskop, and Novus, keeping open the possibility of a reversal that would shift third place. Smaller parties remain well behind, with negligible probabilities of finishing third. The three-week window before election day leaves limited room for late swings to alter the current ranking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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