Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats (S) maintaining a clear lead near 31 percent, with the Sweden Democrats (SD) holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates (M) trailing in third near 17 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple surveys through mid-August, reflecting limited momentum shifts in the final month. The governing Tidö arrangement’s bloc trails the centre-left opposition in aggregated support, while smaller parties such as the Greens, Centre, and Left remain well behind the top three. Traders appear to view these polling patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probabilities for third place.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Moderate Party (M) 82%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$47,054 交易量
$47,054 交易量
2026-09-13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%
Moderate Party (M)
82%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 82%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$47,054 交易量
$47,054 交易量
2026-09-13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$3,199 交易量
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$8,433 交易量
16%
Moderate Party (M)
$15,358 交易量
82%
Centre Party (C)
$3,197 交易量
<1%
Left Party (V)
$4,252 交易量
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,552 交易量
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,480 交易量
1%
Liberals (L)
$3,071 交易量
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats (S) maintaining a clear lead near 31 percent, with the Sweden Democrats (SD) holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates (M) trailing in third near 17 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple surveys through mid-August, reflecting limited momentum shifts in the final month. The governing Tidö arrangement’s bloc trails the centre-left opposition in aggregated support, while smaller parties such as the Greens, Centre, and Left remain well behind the top three. Traders appear to view these polling patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probabilities for third place.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$47,054结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats (S) maintaining a clear lead near 31 percent, with the Sweden Democrats (SD) holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates (M) trailing in third near 17 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple surveys through mid-August, reflecting limited momentum shifts in the final month. The governing Tidö arrangement’s bloc trails the centre-left opposition in aggregated support, while smaller parties such as the Greens, Centre, and Left remain well behind the top three. Traders appear to view these polling patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probabilities for third place.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$47,054结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats (S) maintaining a clear lead near 31 percent, with the Sweden Democrats (SD) holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates (M) trailing in third near 17 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple surveys through mid-August, reflecting limited momentum shifts in the final month. The governing Tidö arrangement’s bloc trails the centre-left opposition in aggregated support, while smaller parties such as the Greens, Centre, and Left remain well behind the top three. Traders appear to view these polling patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probabilities for third place.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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