Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governor election due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel from late August and early September, show Ciro at 46–48% in the first round against Elmano's 37–46%, with the gap narrowing from earlier double-digit margins but remaining outside most margins of error. Second-round simulations similarly favor Ciro by 4–9 points. Ciro's prior experience as governor and federal minister, combined with campaign focus on economic issues such as debt relief, bolsters his position, while Elmano's incumbency and PT base provide a competitive floor amid a polarized contest between the two main contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 36%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$210,242 交易量
$210,242 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
36%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 36%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$210,242 交易量
$210,242 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$99,136 交易量
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$41,227 交易量
36%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 交易量
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$17,024 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$16,424 交易量
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governor election due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel from late August and early September, show Ciro at 46–48% in the first round against Elmano's 37–46%, with the gap narrowing from earlier double-digit margins but remaining outside most margins of error. Second-round simulations similarly favor Ciro by 4–9 points. Ciro's prior experience as governor and federal minister, combined with campaign focus on economic issues such as debt relief, bolsters his position, while Elmano's incumbency and PT base provide a competitive floor amid a polarized contest between the two main contenders.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$210,242结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETThe Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governor election due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel from late August and early September, show Ciro at 46–48% in the first round against Elmano's 37–46%, with the gap narrowing from earlier double-digit margins but remaining outside most margins of error. Second-round simulations similarly favor Ciro by 4–9 points. Ciro's prior experience as governor and federal minister, combined with campaign focus on economic issues such as debt relief, bolsters his position, while Elmano's incumbency and PT base provide a competitive floor amid a polarized contest between the two main contenders.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$210,242结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETCiro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governor election due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel from late August and early September, show Ciro at 46–48% in the first round against Elmano's 37–46%, with the gap narrowing from earlier double-digit margins but remaining outside most margins of error. Second-round simulations similarly favor Ciro by 4–9 points. Ciro's prior experience as governor and federal minister, combined with campaign focus on economic issues such as debt relief, bolsters his position, while Elmano's incumbency and PT base provide a competitive floor amid a polarized contest between the two main contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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