Ciro Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a Datafolha survey showing him at 47% to incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%. As a former governor and national figure now backed by the PSDB, Gomes benefits from high name recognition and voter preference in head-to-head scenarios, while the PT incumbent's support remains anchored to his base but trails in stimulated vote intentions. Other declared candidates, including Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão, register low single-digit shares, reflecting limited traction ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, where polling momentum and incumbency challenges shape the implied probabilities for the runoff-contested outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 5.1%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$59,078 交易量
$59,078 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
57%
Elmano de Freitas
29%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
5%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Capitão Wagner
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 5.1%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$59,078 交易量
$59,078 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$37,590 交易量
57%
Elmano de Freitas
$8,055 交易量
29%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$3,409 交易量
5%
Eduardo Girão
$3,437 交易量
1%
Capitão Wagner
$4,415 交易量
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,172 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a Datafolha survey showing him at 47% to incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%. As a former governor and national figure now backed by the PSDB, Gomes benefits from high name recognition and voter preference in head-to-head scenarios, while the PT incumbent's support remains anchored to his base but trails in stimulated vote intentions. Other declared candidates, including Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão, register low single-digit shares, reflecting limited traction ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, where polling momentum and incumbency challenges shape the implied probabilities for the runoff-contested outcome.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$59,078结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a Datafolha survey showing him at 47% to incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%. As a former governor and national figure now backed by the PSDB, Gomes benefits from high name recognition and voter preference in head-to-head scenarios, while the PT incumbent's support remains anchored to his base but trails in stimulated vote intentions. Other declared candidates, including Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão, register low single-digit shares, reflecting limited traction ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, where polling momentum and incumbency challenges shape the implied probabilities for the runoff-contested outcome.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$59,078结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a Datafolha survey showing him at 47% to incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%. As a former governor and national figure now backed by the PSDB, Gomes benefits from high name recognition and voter preference in head-to-head scenarios, while the PT incumbent's support remains anchored to his base but trails in stimulated vote intentions. Other declared candidates, including Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão, register low single-digit shares, reflecting limited traction ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, where polling momentum and incumbency challenges shape the implied probabilities for the runoff-contested outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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