The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB), with recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showing them statistically tied or separated by just a few points in first-round voting intentions. Lyra's incumbency, record on state infrastructure and economic indicators, and ongoing campaign events across regions have sustained her position, while Campos leverages strong name recognition from his time as Recife mayor and family political legacy. Exchanges of accusations between camps and candidate interviews have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus favoring Lyra reflects these fundamentals, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late endorsements could widen the gap before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉克尔·利拉 65%
若昂·坎波斯 33%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$49,175 交易量
$49,175 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
60%
若昂·坎波斯
36%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
<1%
拉克尔·利拉 65%
若昂·坎波斯 33%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$49,175 交易量
$49,175 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
$23,133 交易量
60%
若昂·坎波斯
$20,683 交易量
36%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
$5,359 交易量
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB), with recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showing them statistically tied or separated by just a few points in first-round voting intentions. Lyra's incumbency, record on state infrastructure and economic indicators, and ongoing campaign events across regions have sustained her position, while Campos leverages strong name recognition from his time as Recife mayor and family political legacy. Exchanges of accusations between camps and candidate interviews have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus favoring Lyra reflects these fundamentals, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late endorsements could widen the gap before voters decide.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$49,175结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThe Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB), with recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showing them statistically tied or separated by just a few points in first-round voting intentions. Lyra's incumbency, record on state infrastructure and economic indicators, and ongoing campaign events across regions have sustained her position, while Campos leverages strong name recognition from his time as Recife mayor and family political legacy. Exchanges of accusations between camps and candidate interviews have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus favoring Lyra reflects these fundamentals, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late endorsements could widen the gap before voters decide.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$49,175结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThe Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB), with recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showing them statistically tied or separated by just a few points in first-round voting intentions. Lyra's incumbency, record on state infrastructure and economic indicators, and ongoing campaign events across regions have sustained her position, while Campos leverages strong name recognition from his time as Recife mayor and family political legacy. Exchanges of accusations between camps and candidate interviews have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus favoring Lyra reflects these fundamentals, though shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late endorsements could widen the gap before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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