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哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?

Market icon

哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?

$172,941 交易量

Oct 4, 2026
Polymarket

$172,941 交易量

Polymarket

弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗

$13,296 交易量

84%

路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦

$84,490 交易量

82%

费尔南多·阿达

$21,186 交易量

8%

塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯

$40,915 交易量

8%

米歇尔·博索纳罗

$13,054 交易量

4%

雅伊尔·博索纳罗

$0 交易量

4%

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$172,941
结束日期
Oct 4, 2026
市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗",概率为 84%,其次是"路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦",概率为 82%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 84¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 84%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?"已产生 $172.9K 的总交易量(自Sep 18, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?"的当前领先者是"弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗",概率为 84%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 84%。紧随其后的结果是"路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦",概率为 82%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。