**PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, renewing 54 of 81 seats, due to its extensive candidate slate, regional strength, and alignment with the right-wing movement.** The party fields 33 Senate candidates, including high-profile names such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and benefits from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and prior congressional gains via party switches. Recent statistical models project PL taking the largest share of contested seats, outpacing MDB’s more dispersed but competitive candidacies and leaving PT and smaller parties further behind in state-level polling aggregates. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PL 84%
巴西民主运动党（MDB） 10.1%
UNIÃO 1.0%
社会民主党（PSD） <1%
$297,626 交易量
$297,626 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
84%
巴西民主运动党（MDB）
10%
UNIÃO
1%
社会民主党（PSD）
1%
共和党
<1%
劳工党（PT）
<1%
PSDB
<1%
进步党（PP）
<1%
巴西社会党（PSB）
<1%
我们可以党
<1%
PDT
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 84%
巴西民主运动党（MDB） 10.1%
UNIÃO 1.0%
社会民主党（PSD） <1%
$297,626 交易量
$297,626 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
$260,826 交易量
84%
巴西民主运动党（MDB）
$8,948 交易量
10%
UNIÃO
$2,905 交易量
1%
社会民主党（PSD）
$2,678 交易量
1%
共和党
$3,482 交易量
<1%
劳工党（PT）
$2,976 交易量
<1%
PSDB
$2,591 交易量
<1%
进步党（PP）
$2,514 交易量
<1%
巴西社会党（PSB）
$2,364 交易量
<1%
我们可以党
$2,666 交易量
<1%
PDT
$2,747 交易量
<1%
NOVO
$2,930 交易量
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, renewing 54 of 81 seats, due to its extensive candidate slate, regional strength, and alignment with the right-wing movement.** The party fields 33 Senate candidates, including high-profile names such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and benefits from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and prior congressional gains via party switches. Recent statistical models project PL taking the largest share of contested seats, outpacing MDB’s more dispersed but competitive candidacies and leaving PT and smaller parties further behind in state-level polling aggregates. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$297,626结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETThe next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, renewing 54 of 81 seats, due to its extensive candidate slate, regional strength, and alignment with the right-wing movement.** The party fields 33 Senate candidates, including high-profile names such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and benefits from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and prior congressional gains via party switches. Recent statistical models project PL taking the largest share of contested seats, outpacing MDB’s more dispersed but competitive candidacies and leaving PT and smaller parties further behind in state-level polling aggregates. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$297,626结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET**PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, renewing 54 of 81 seats, due to its extensive candidate slate, regional strength, and alignment with the right-wing movement.** The party fields 33 Senate candidates, including high-profile names such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and benefits from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and prior congressional gains via party switches. Recent statistical models project PL taking the largest share of contested seats, outpacing MDB’s more dispersed but competitive candidacies and leaving PT and smaller parties further behind in state-level polling aggregates. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题