Trader consensus assigns Renan Santos the strongest position for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round, reflecting assessments of candidate field strength, regional support bases, and early positioning ahead of party conventions. Ronaldo Caiado holds the next-highest implied probability, consistent with his established profile as a state governor and potential center-right contender. Lower odds for Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, and Ratinho Júnior align with fragmented opposition dynamics and competition for similar voter blocs, while minimal probabilities for Lula, Haddad, and Jair Bolsonaro indicate limited expectations they will finish exactly third under current trajectories. Recent developments in coalition negotiations and polling trends continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 22%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 5.0%
罗梅乌·泽马 4.6%
$485,770 交易量
$485,770 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
22%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
5%
罗梅乌·泽马
5%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
2%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
1%
费尔南多·阿达
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 22%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 5.0%
罗梅乌·泽马 4.6%
$485,770 交易量
$485,770 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$164,547 交易量
62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$37,484 交易量
22%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$21,756 交易量
5%
罗梅乌·泽马
$18,703 交易量
5%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$100,629 交易量
2%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$9,875 交易量
1%
费尔南多·阿达
$18,417 交易量
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$7,182 交易量
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$7,557 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$43,877 交易量
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$8,579 交易量
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$11,257 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$11,539 交易量
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$8,566 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$8,238 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$4,083 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$3,481 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus assigns Renan Santos the strongest position for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round, reflecting assessments of candidate field strength, regional support bases, and early positioning ahead of party conventions. Ronaldo Caiado holds the next-highest implied probability, consistent with his established profile as a state governor and potential center-right contender. Lower odds for Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, and Ratinho Júnior align with fragmented opposition dynamics and competition for similar voter blocs, while minimal probabilities for Lula, Haddad, and Jair Bolsonaro indicate limited expectations they will finish exactly third under current trajectories. Recent developments in coalition negotiations and polling trends continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$485,770结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus assigns Renan Santos the strongest position for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round, reflecting assessments of candidate field strength, regional support bases, and early positioning ahead of party conventions. Ronaldo Caiado holds the next-highest implied probability, consistent with his established profile as a state governor and potential center-right contender. Lower odds for Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, and Ratinho Júnior align with fragmented opposition dynamics and competition for similar voter blocs, while minimal probabilities for Lula, Haddad, and Jair Bolsonaro indicate limited expectations they will finish exactly third under current trajectories. Recent developments in coalition negotiations and polling trends continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$485,770结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns Renan Santos the strongest position for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round, reflecting assessments of candidate field strength, regional support bases, and early positioning ahead of party conventions. Ronaldo Caiado holds the next-highest implied probability, consistent with his established profile as a state governor and potential center-right contender. Lower odds for Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, and Ratinho Júnior align with fragmented opposition dynamics and competition for similar voter blocs, while minimal probabilities for Lula, Haddad, and Jair Bolsonaro indicate limited expectations they will finish exactly third under current trajectories. Recent developments in coalition negotiations and polling trends continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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