Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round due to his consistent low-single-digit polling share and momentum among younger right-leaning voters drawn to his anti-establishment platform on security, anti-corruption, and economic issues. The Mission Party candidate, who formalized his bid with vice-presidential running mate Aroldo Medina on July 20, benefits from structural positioning behind likely frontrunners such as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado remains a secondary contender in the market at lower odds, reflecting his established conservative base but comparatively limited recent polling gains relative to Santos. Other listed figures, including Romeu Zema and various Bolsonaro family members, trail with minimal implied probability amid the crowded field and two-month timeline to the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 27%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 5.7%
罗梅乌·泽马 4.5%
$484,286 交易量
$484,286 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
27%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
6%
罗梅乌·泽马
5%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
2%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
1%
费尔南多·阿达
1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 27%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 5.7%
罗梅乌·泽马 4.5%
$484,286 交易量
$484,286 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$163,698 交易量
62%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$37,418 交易量
27%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$21,706 交易量
6%
罗梅乌·泽马
$18,922 交易量
5%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$100,599 交易量
2%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$9,788 交易量
1%
费尔南多·阿达
$18,337 交易量
1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$3,481 交易量
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$7,152 交易量
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$7,227 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$43,847 交易量
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$8,549 交易量
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$11,227 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$11,509 交易量
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$8,536 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$8,208 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$4,083 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round due to his consistent low-single-digit polling share and momentum among younger right-leaning voters drawn to his anti-establishment platform on security, anti-corruption, and economic issues. The Mission Party candidate, who formalized his bid with vice-presidential running mate Aroldo Medina on July 20, benefits from structural positioning behind likely frontrunners such as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado remains a secondary contender in the market at lower odds, reflecting his established conservative base but comparatively limited recent polling gains relative to Santos. Other listed figures, including Romeu Zema and various Bolsonaro family members, trail with minimal implied probability amid the crowded field and two-month timeline to the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$484,286结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round due to his consistent low-single-digit polling share and momentum among younger right-leaning voters drawn to his anti-establishment platform on security, anti-corruption, and economic issues. The Mission Party candidate, who formalized his bid with vice-presidential running mate Aroldo Medina on July 20, benefits from structural positioning behind likely frontrunners such as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado remains a secondary contender in the market at lower odds, reflecting his established conservative base but comparatively limited recent polling gains relative to Santos. Other listed figures, including Romeu Zema and various Bolsonaro family members, trail with minimal implied probability amid the crowded field and two-month timeline to the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$484,286结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round due to his consistent low-single-digit polling share and momentum among younger right-leaning voters drawn to his anti-establishment platform on security, anti-corruption, and economic issues. The Mission Party candidate, who formalized his bid with vice-presidential running mate Aroldo Medina on July 20, benefits from structural positioning behind likely frontrunners such as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado remains a secondary contender in the market at lower odds, reflecting his established conservative base but comparatively limited recent polling gains relative to Santos. Other listed figures, including Romeu Zema and various Bolsonaro family members, trail with minimal implied probability amid the crowded field and two-month timeline to the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题