Skip to main content
icon for 帕拉州州长选举获胜者

帕拉州州长选举获胜者

icon for 帕拉州州长选举获胜者

帕拉州州长选举获胜者

哈娜·加桑 59%

丹尼尔·桑托斯博士 41%

埃德尔·毛罗 1.5%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$34,216 交易量

哈娜·加桑 59%

丹尼尔·桑托斯博士 41%

埃德尔·毛罗 1.5%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$34,216 交易量

icon for 哈娜·加桑

哈娜·加桑

$14,685 交易量

59%

icon for 丹尼尔·桑托斯博士

丹尼尔·桑托斯博士

$9,714 交易量

41%

icon for 埃德尔·毛罗

埃德尔·毛罗

$3,836 交易量

2%

icon for Dirceu Ten Caten

Dirceu Ten Caten

$1,504 交易量

<1%

icon for 保卢·罗查

保卢·罗查

$1,543 交易量

<1%

icon for 罗热里奥·巴拉

罗热里奥·巴拉

$1,561 交易量

<1%

icon for 泽金亚·马里尼奥

泽金亚·马里尼奥

$1,374 交易量

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Pará governor centers on incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) facing a strong challenge from Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with the latest Quaest poll showing a technical tie at 27% and 28% respectively amid 29% undecided. Ghassan's position as sitting governor, backed by a broad coalition including PT allies and support tied to former governor Helder Barbalho's network, underpins her slight market edge over Daniel's local base as ex-mayor of Ananindeua. Other candidates register minimal support in surveys, limiting their impact on first-round outcomes or potential runoffs. High undecided shares and the October 4 first-round timeline sustain volatility, with further polling shifts or coalition moves likely to influence trader assessments before voting.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$34,216
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Pará governor centers on incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) facing a strong challenge from Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with the latest Quaest poll showing a technical tie at 27% and 28% respectively amid 29% undecided. Ghassan's position as sitting governor, backed by a broad coalition including PT allies and support tied to former governor Helder Barbalho's network, underpins her slight market edge over Daniel's local base as ex-mayor of Ananindeua. Other candidates register minimal support in surveys, limiting their impact on first-round outcomes or potential runoffs. High undecided shares and the October 4 first-round timeline sustain volatility, with further polling shifts or coalition moves likely to influence trader assessments before voting.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$34,216
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"帕拉州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哈娜·加桑",概率为 59%,其次是"丹尼尔·桑托斯博士",概率为 41%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 59¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 59%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"帕拉州州长选举获胜者"已产生 $34.2K 的总交易量(自Jun 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"帕拉州州长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"帕拉州州长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"哈娜·加桑",概率为 59%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 59%。紧随其后的结果是"丹尼尔·桑托斯博士",概率为 41%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"帕拉州州长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。