Omar Aziz and Professora Maria do Carmo lead a fragmented field in the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race, with recent party conventions and alliances tightening the contest ahead of the October first-round vote. Aziz secured formal PSD nomination and backing from the Brazil of Hope federation, while Maria do Carmo draws support from PL networks; both hover near 27 percent in late-2025 and mid-2026 surveys, leaving substantial undecided voters and room for smaller contenders such as David Almeida and Roberto Cidade. The first candidate debate and ongoing coalition negotiations have kept probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive path that could shift with additional endorsements, turnout patterns in Manaus, or late campaign momentum before the potential runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于罗伯托·西达德 45%
卡博·达西奥洛 44%
吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯 9%
以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库 8%

罗伯托·西达德
45%

卡博·达西奥洛
44%

吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯
9%

以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库
8%

大卫·阿尔梅达
45%

奥马尔·阿齐兹
53%

教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫
51%
罗伯托·西达德 45%
卡博·达西奥洛 44%
吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯 9%
以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库 8%

罗伯托·西达德
45%

卡博·达西奥洛
44%

吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯
9%

以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库
8%

大卫·阿尔梅达
45%

奥马尔·阿齐兹
53%

教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫
51%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz and Professora Maria do Carmo lead a fragmented field in the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race, with recent party conventions and alliances tightening the contest ahead of the October first-round vote. Aziz secured formal PSD nomination and backing from the Brazil of Hope federation, while Maria do Carmo draws support from PL networks; both hover near 27 percent in late-2025 and mid-2026 surveys, leaving substantial undecided voters and room for smaller contenders such as David Almeida and Roberto Cidade. The first candidate debate and ongoing coalition negotiations have kept probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive path that could shift with additional endorsements, turnout patterns in Manaus, or late campaign momentum before the potential runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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