**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, supporting strong expectations of retaining at least one seat despite province-wide polling around 7–10%.** The October 5, 2026 general election follows the August 27 writ, with QS defending incumbencies in ridings such as Gouin and Mercier while contesting others like Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques and Hochelaga-Maisonneuve. Seat projections from models including 338Canada and Poliwave place QS in the range of roughly 3–11 seats (most commonly 5–9), reflecting vote efficiency in urban francophone and progressive districts even as the party trails the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ in overall popular vote. Recent polls show QS stable or slightly improved in some surveys amid a tightening PQ–CAQ race, with the party focusing campaign messaging on cost-of-living measures such as grocery profit caps. No major developments have emerged to threaten QS’s core ridings or eliminate its viability ahead of the 39-day campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
68% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
是
68% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, supporting strong expectations of retaining at least one seat despite province-wide polling around 7–10%.**
The October 5, 2026 general election follows the August 27 writ, with QS defending incumbencies in ridings such as Gouin and Mercier while contesting others like Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques and Hochelaga-Maisonneuve. Seat projections from models including 338Canada and Poliwave place QS in the range of roughly 3–11 seats (most commonly 5–9), reflecting vote efficiency in urban francophone and progressive districts even as the party trails the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ in overall popular vote. Recent polls show QS stable or slightly improved in some surveys amid a tightening PQ–CAQ race, with the party focusing campaign messaging on cost-of-living measures such as grocery profit caps. No major developments have emerged to threaten QS’s core ridings or eliminate its viability ahead of the 39-day campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
交易量
$310结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, supporting strong expectations of retaining at least one seat despite province-wide polling around 7–10%.**
The October 5, 2026 general election follows the August 27 writ, with QS defending incumbencies in ridings such as Gouin and Mercier while contesting others like Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques and Hochelaga-Maisonneuve. Seat projections from models including 338Canada and Poliwave place QS in the range of roughly 3–11 seats (most commonly 5–9), reflecting vote efficiency in urban francophone and progressive districts even as the party trails the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ in overall popular vote. Recent polls show QS stable or slightly improved in some surveys amid a tightening PQ–CAQ race, with the party focusing campaign messaging on cost-of-living measures such as grocery profit caps. No major developments have emerged to threaten QS’s core ridings or eliminate its viability ahead of the 39-day campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$310结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, supporting strong expectations of retaining at least one seat despite province-wide polling around 7–10%.** The October 5, 2026 general election follows the August 27 writ, with QS defending incumbencies in ridings such as Gouin and Mercier while contesting others like Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques and Hochelaga-Maisonneuve. Seat projections from models including 338Canada and Poliwave place QS in the range of roughly 3–11 seats (most commonly 5–9), reflecting vote efficiency in urban francophone and progressive districts even as the party trails the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ in overall popular vote. Recent polls show QS stable or slightly improved in some surveys amid a tightening PQ–CAQ race, with the party focusing campaign messaging on cost-of-living measures such as grocery profit caps. No major developments have emerged to threaten QS’s core ridings or eliminate its viability ahead of the 39-day campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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