Incumbent Stephen Lynch benefits from strong name recognition, established donor networks, and a record of representing the safe Democratic MA-08 district, supporting his narrow lead in trader pricing. Challenger Patrick Roath, a former aide to Governor Deval Patrick, has built momentum through aggressive fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from progressive figures, while an internal poll indicated he could lead once voters compare biographical and policy details. Andrew Zylberfink’s withdrawal has narrowed the contest ahead of the September 1 primary. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities, with upcoming candidate forums and further polling likely to influence separation between the contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于斯蒂芬·林奇 75%
帕特里克·罗思 48%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 13.2%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
斯蒂芬·林奇
60%
帕特里克·罗思
48%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
13%
斯蒂芬·林奇 75%
帕特里克·罗思 48%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 13.2%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
斯蒂芬·林奇
$2,446 交易量
60%
帕特里克·罗思
$146 交易量
48%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
$297 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Stephen Lynch benefits from strong name recognition, established donor networks, and a record of representing the safe Democratic MA-08 district, supporting his narrow lead in trader pricing. Challenger Patrick Roath, a former aide to Governor Deval Patrick, has built momentum through aggressive fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from progressive figures, while an internal poll indicated he could lead once voters compare biographical and policy details. Andrew Zylberfink’s withdrawal has narrowed the contest ahead of the September 1 primary. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities, with upcoming candidate forums and further polling likely to influence separation between the contenders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,890结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Stephen Lynch benefits from strong name recognition, established donor networks, and a record of representing the safe Democratic MA-08 district, supporting his narrow lead in trader pricing. Challenger Patrick Roath, a former aide to Governor Deval Patrick, has built momentum through aggressive fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from progressive figures, while an internal poll indicated he could lead once voters compare biographical and policy details. Andrew Zylberfink’s withdrawal has narrowed the contest ahead of the September 1 primary. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities, with upcoming candidate forums and further polling likely to influence separation between the contenders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,890结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Stephen Lynch benefits from strong name recognition, established donor networks, and a record of representing the safe Democratic MA-08 district, supporting his narrow lead in trader pricing. Challenger Patrick Roath, a former aide to Governor Deval Patrick, has built momentum through aggressive fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from progressive figures, while an internal poll indicated he could lead once voters compare biographical and policy details. Andrew Zylberfink’s withdrawal has narrowed the contest ahead of the September 1 primary. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities, with upcoming candidate forums and further polling likely to influence separation between the contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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