The September 1, 2026 Democratic primary in Massachusetts’ 8th Congressional District pits 25-year incumbent Stephen Lynch against challenger Patrick Roath, with Andrew Zylberfink withdrawn. Trader consensus reflects a tight contest driven by Lynch’s established name recognition and institutional support alongside Roath’s early fundraising edge, Boston Teachers Union endorsement, and appeal on generational and policy contrasts. Limited public polling and the absence of major campaign events since ballot qualification have kept probabilities closely matched. Additional candidate forums, further union or party endorsements, or updated surveys ahead of the primary could widen the gap by clarifying voter priorities in this safely Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于斯蒂芬·林奇 59%
帕特里克·罗思 49%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
斯蒂芬·林奇
59%
帕特里克·罗思
49%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
4%
斯蒂芬·林奇 59%
帕特里克·罗思 49%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
斯蒂芬·林奇
$2,469 交易量
59%
帕特里克·罗思
$191 交易量
49%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
$306 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The September 1, 2026 Democratic primary in Massachusetts’ 8th Congressional District pits 25-year incumbent Stephen Lynch against challenger Patrick Roath, with Andrew Zylberfink withdrawn. Trader consensus reflects a tight contest driven by Lynch’s established name recognition and institutional support alongside Roath’s early fundraising edge, Boston Teachers Union endorsement, and appeal on generational and policy contrasts. Limited public polling and the absence of major campaign events since ballot qualification have kept probabilities closely matched. Additional candidate forums, further union or party endorsements, or updated surveys ahead of the primary could widen the gap by clarifying voter priorities in this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,965结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The September 1, 2026 Democratic primary in Massachusetts’ 8th Congressional District pits 25-year incumbent Stephen Lynch against challenger Patrick Roath, with Andrew Zylberfink withdrawn. Trader consensus reflects a tight contest driven by Lynch’s established name recognition and institutional support alongside Roath’s early fundraising edge, Boston Teachers Union endorsement, and appeal on generational and policy contrasts. Limited public polling and the absence of major campaign events since ballot qualification have kept probabilities closely matched. Additional candidate forums, further union or party endorsements, or updated surveys ahead of the primary could widen the gap by clarifying voter priorities in this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,965结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 1, 2026 Democratic primary in Massachusetts’ 8th Congressional District pits 25-year incumbent Stephen Lynch against challenger Patrick Roath, with Andrew Zylberfink withdrawn. Trader consensus reflects a tight contest driven by Lynch’s established name recognition and institutional support alongside Roath’s early fundraising edge, Boston Teachers Union endorsement, and appeal on generational and policy contrasts. Limited public polling and the absence of major campaign events since ballot qualification have kept probabilities closely matched. Additional candidate forums, further union or party endorsements, or updated surveys ahead of the primary could widen the gap by clarifying voter priorities in this safely Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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