Incumbent U.S. Rep. Bill Keating maintains a strong position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, due to his established record of securing near-unanimous primary support in prior cycles and consistent general election victories exceeding 55 percent. The filing deadline of August 25 leaves limited time for additional challengers to emerge or gain traction. Activist Craig Swallow's January 2026 entry as the main declared opponent has not shifted the race dynamics substantially, reflecting typical barriers for primary challengers against sitting members in safe Democratic seats. Trader consensus prices align with historical base rates for incumbents facing low-profile opposition in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-09-01
Bill Keating
91%
Craig Swallow
7%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
Bill Keating
$244 交易量
91%
Craig Swallow
$125 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Bill Keating maintains a strong position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, due to his established record of securing near-unanimous primary support in prior cycles and consistent general election victories exceeding 55 percent. The filing deadline of August 25 leaves limited time for additional challengers to emerge or gain traction. Activist Craig Swallow's January 2026 entry as the main declared opponent has not shifted the race dynamics substantially, reflecting typical barriers for primary challengers against sitting members in safe Democratic seats. Trader consensus prices align with historical base rates for incumbents facing low-profile opposition in this district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
交易量
$369结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Bill Keating maintains a strong position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, due to his established record of securing near-unanimous primary support in prior cycles and consistent general election victories exceeding 55 percent. The filing deadline of August 25 leaves limited time for additional challengers to emerge or gain traction. Activist Craig Swallow's January 2026 entry as the main declared opponent has not shifted the race dynamics substantially, reflecting typical barriers for primary challengers against sitting members in safe Democratic seats. Trader consensus prices align with historical base rates for incumbents facing low-profile opposition in this district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$369结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Bill Keating maintains a strong position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, due to his established record of securing near-unanimous primary support in prior cycles and consistent general election victories exceeding 55 percent. The filing deadline of August 25 leaves limited time for additional challengers to emerge or gain traction. Activist Craig Swallow's January 2026 entry as the main declared opponent has not shifted the race dynamics substantially, reflecting typical barriers for primary challengers against sitting members in safe Democratic seats. Trader consensus prices align with historical base rates for incumbents facing low-profile opposition in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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