In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 44.2%
卡洛斯·克莱 26%
克雷西奥·路易斯 20%
弗尔兰博士 0
最新
最新
2026-10-04
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔
44%
卡洛斯·克莱
26%
克雷西奥·路易斯
20%
弗尔兰博士
37%
马科斯·雷塔吉
46%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 44.2%
卡洛斯·克莱 26%
克雷西奥·路易斯 20%
弗尔兰博士 0
最新
最新
2026-10-04
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔
$20 交易量
44%
卡洛斯·克莱
$20 交易量
26%
克雷西奥·路易斯
$20 交易量
20%
弗尔兰博士
$61 交易量
37%
马科斯·雷塔吉
$40 交易量
46%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
交易量
$161结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$161结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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