In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于埃尔顿博士 39%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔 39%
法比奥 39%
里卡多·马尔克斯 39%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃尔顿博士
39%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
39%
法比奥
39%
里卡多·马尔克斯
39%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
39%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
39%
埃尔顿博士 39%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔 39%
法比奥 39%
里卡多·马尔克斯 39%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃尔顿博士
$0 交易量
39%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
$0 交易量
39%
法比奥
$0 交易量
39%
里卡多·马尔克斯
$0 交易量
39%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
$0 交易量
39%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
$0 交易量
39%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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