The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯 50%
ACM Neto 46%
克莱伯·罗萨 <1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚 <1%
$117,048 交易量
$117,048 交易量
2026-10-04
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯
49%
ACM Neto
46%
克莱伯·罗萨
<1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚
<1%
若昂·罗马
<1%
布鲁诺·苏亚雷斯·雷斯
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔
<1%
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯 50%
ACM Neto 46%
克莱伯·罗萨 <1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚 <1%
$117,048 交易量
$117,048 交易量
2026-10-04
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯
$36,861 交易量
49%
ACM Neto
$40,237 交易量
46%
克莱伯·罗萨
$12,792 交易量
<1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚
$10,899 交易量
<1%
若昂·罗马
$5,186 交易量
<1%
布鲁诺·苏亚雷斯·雷斯
$5,325 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔
$5,747 交易量
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$117,048结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$117,048结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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