In the Pará Senate race, a fragmented field of more than two dozen pre-candidates keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered, with recent July 2026 Genial/Quaest polling showing Helder Barbalho (MDB) at 21-23% and Éder Mauro (PL) alongside Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) in the low-to-mid teens. This multi-candidate dynamic, typical of Brazil’s two-seat Senate contests, leaves substantial room for shifts as alliances consolidate and campaigns intensify ahead of October voting. Trader consensus reflects the absence of decisive momentum or major endorsements since the latest surveys, with lower-priced names like Edlaine Rodrigues and Celso Sabino facing structural barriers in name recognition and party infrastructure. Late primary alignments, turnout patterns in key regions, and any high-profile debates could quickly separate the pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯 44%
费尔南达·洛佩斯 44%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯 44%
埃尔德 44%

埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯
44%

费尔南达·洛佩斯
44%

吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯
44%

埃尔德
44%

威廉·达席尔瓦
44%

泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
44%

代表埃德尔·毛罗
42%

Chicão
42%

Conti
42%

Breno Guimarães
41%

塞尔索·萨比诺
41%
埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯 44%
费尔南达·洛佩斯 44%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯 44%
埃尔德 44%

埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯
44%

费尔南达·洛佩斯
44%

吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯
44%

埃尔德
44%

威廉·达席尔瓦
44%

泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
44%

代表埃德尔·毛罗
42%

Chicão
42%

Conti
42%

Breno Guimarães
41%

塞尔索·萨比诺
41%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Pará Senate race, a fragmented field of more than two dozen pre-candidates keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered, with recent July 2026 Genial/Quaest polling showing Helder Barbalho (MDB) at 21-23% and Éder Mauro (PL) alongside Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) in the low-to-mid teens. This multi-candidate dynamic, typical of Brazil’s two-seat Senate contests, leaves substantial room for shifts as alliances consolidate and campaigns intensify ahead of October voting. Trader consensus reflects the absence of decisive momentum or major endorsements since the latest surveys, with lower-priced names like Edlaine Rodrigues and Celso Sabino facing structural barriers in name recognition and party infrastructure. Late primary alignments, turnout patterns in key regions, and any high-profile debates could quickly separate the pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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