Recent polling from July 2026 shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pará, leaving a fragmented field to contest second place. Traders assign Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) the highest implied probability for runner-up status, followed by Chicão and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), with several others within striking distance in simulated scenarios. The closeness stems from a crowded ballot, limited name recognition among challengers, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements since the latest surveys. Upcoming candidate debates, party alliances, or shifts in voter turnout patterns in the coming months could widen gaps among contenders ahead of the October election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于威廉·达席尔瓦 29%
代表埃德尔·毛罗 25%
Breno Guimarães 23%
塞尔索·萨比诺 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
威廉·达席尔瓦
29%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
25%
Breno Guimarães
23%
塞尔索·萨比诺
19%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
19%
Edlaine Rodrigues
18%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
19%
埃尔德
15%
吉泽莱·弗雷塔斯
14%
Chicão
12%
康蒂
9%
威廉·达席尔瓦 29%
代表埃德尔·毛罗 25%
Breno Guimarães 23%
塞尔索·萨比诺 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
威廉·达席尔瓦
$56 交易量
29%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
$132 交易量
25%
Breno Guimarães
$56 交易量
23%
塞尔索·萨比诺
$56 交易量
19%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
$82 交易量
19%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$56 交易量
18%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
$92 交易量
19%
埃尔德
$74 交易量
15%
吉泽莱·弗雷塔斯
$132 交易量
14%
Chicão
$56 交易量
12%
康蒂
$122 交易量
9%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pará, leaving a fragmented field to contest second place. Traders assign Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) the highest implied probability for runner-up status, followed by Chicão and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), with several others within striking distance in simulated scenarios. The closeness stems from a crowded ballot, limited name recognition among challengers, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements since the latest surveys. Upcoming candidate debates, party alliances, or shifts in voter turnout patterns in the coming months could widen gaps among contenders ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$914结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pará, leaving a fragmented field to contest second place. Traders assign Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) the highest implied probability for runner-up status, followed by Chicão and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), with several others within striking distance in simulated scenarios. The closeness stems from a crowded ballot, limited name recognition among challengers, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements since the latest surveys. Upcoming candidate debates, party alliances, or shifts in voter turnout patterns in the coming months could widen gaps among contenders ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$914结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pará, leaving a fragmented field to contest second place. Traders assign Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) the highest implied probability for runner-up status, followed by Chicão and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), with several others within striking distance in simulated scenarios. The closeness stems from a crowded ballot, limited name recognition among challengers, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements since the latest surveys. Upcoming candidate debates, party alliances, or shifts in voter turnout patterns in the coming months could widen gaps among contenders ahead of the October election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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