The Amazonas Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of nine registered candidates, with incumbents Eduardo Braga (MDB) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) joined by challengers including Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and others. Early August polls indicate Neto holding a lead while Braga trails closely, yet the contest for second place remains fragmented with no dominant contender emerging. This dynamic sustains broad trader consensus around 44-50% implied probabilities across multiple names, as vote splitting and limited polling data leave several paths open for consolidation or surges. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and further surveys through October could clarify positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 44%
戴尔森·科雷亚 44%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库 44%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
44%
戴尔森·科雷亚
44%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
44%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
44%
教授埃瓦尼
44%
威尔逊·利马
44%
爱德华多·布拉加
44%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
44%
Xuxa do Amazonas
44%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 44%
戴尔森·科雷亚 44%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库 44%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
$0 交易量
44%
戴尔森·科雷亚
$0 交易量
44%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
$0 交易量
44%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
$0 交易量
44%
教授埃瓦尼
$0 交易量
44%
威尔逊·利马
$0 交易量
44%
爱德华多·布拉加
$0 交易量
44%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
$0 交易量
44%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$0 交易量
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of nine registered candidates, with incumbents Eduardo Braga (MDB) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) joined by challengers including Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and others. Early August polls indicate Neto holding a lead while Braga trails closely, yet the contest for second place remains fragmented with no dominant contender emerging. This dynamic sustains broad trader consensus around 44-50% implied probabilities across multiple names, as vote splitting and limited polling data leave several paths open for consolidation or surges. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and further surveys through October could clarify positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of nine registered candidates, with incumbents Eduardo Braga (MDB) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) joined by challengers including Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and others. Early August polls indicate Neto holding a lead while Braga trails closely, yet the contest for second place remains fragmented with no dominant contender emerging. This dynamic sustains broad trader consensus around 44-50% implied probabilities across multiple names, as vote splitting and limited polling data leave several paths open for consolidation or surges. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and further surveys through October could clarify positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of nine registered candidates, with incumbents Eduardo Braga (MDB) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) joined by challengers including Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and others. Early August polls indicate Neto holding a lead while Braga trails closely, yet the contest for second place remains fragmented with no dominant contender emerging. This dynamic sustains broad trader consensus around 44-50% implied probabilities across multiple names, as vote splitting and limited polling data leave several paths open for consolidation or surges. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and further surveys through October could clarify positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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