In Brazil's October 2026 Senate election in Bahia, where voters select two senators, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several viable candidates. Recent candidate registrations and mid-2026 polls show Rui Costa (PT) leading overall, while Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL) cluster closely behind for the remaining seat, with margins often within sampling error. PT's coordinated slate, opposition party alignments, and undecided voter shares sustain balanced probabilities. Upcoming debates, coalition finalization, and late polling shifts ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jaques Wagner 44%
João Roma 44%
Rui Costa 44%
Gregorio Gould 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
44%
João Roma
44%
Rui Costa
44%
Gregorio Gould
44%
Marcelo Carvalho
44%
Marcelo Santtana
44%
Professora Delliana
44%
Angelo Coronel
43%
Marcelo Millet
41%
Carlos Sodré
38%
Jaques Wagner 44%
João Roma 44%
Rui Costa 44%
Gregorio Gould 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
$0 交易量
44%
João Roma
$0 交易量
44%
Rui Costa
$0 交易量
44%
Gregorio Gould
$0 交易量
44%
Marcelo Carvalho
$0 交易量
44%
Marcelo Santtana
$0 交易量
44%
Professora Delliana
$0 交易量
44%
Angelo Coronel
$0 交易量
43%
Marcelo Millet
$0 交易量
41%
Carlos Sodré
$0 交易量
38%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's October 2026 Senate election in Bahia, where voters select two senators, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several viable candidates. Recent candidate registrations and mid-2026 polls show Rui Costa (PT) leading overall, while Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL) cluster closely behind for the remaining seat, with margins often within sampling error. PT's coordinated slate, opposition party alignments, and undecided voter shares sustain balanced probabilities. Upcoming debates, coalition finalization, and late polling shifts ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's October 2026 Senate election in Bahia, where voters select two senators, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several viable candidates. Recent candidate registrations and mid-2026 polls show Rui Costa (PT) leading overall, while Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL) cluster closely behind for the remaining seat, with margins often within sampling error. PT's coordinated slate, opposition party alignments, and undecided voter shares sustain balanced probabilities. Upcoming debates, coalition finalization, and late polling shifts ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil's October 2026 Senate election in Bahia, where voters select two senators, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several viable candidates. Recent candidate registrations and mid-2026 polls show Rui Costa (PT) leading overall, while Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL) cluster closely behind for the remaining seat, with margins often within sampling error. PT's coordinated slate, opposition party alignments, and undecided voter shares sustain balanced probabilities. Upcoming debates, coalition finalization, and late polling shifts ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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