Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the FL-19 Republican primary market at 52% amid a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Early fundraising momentum, including over $430,000 raised in her first quarter largely from small donors, has positioned her ahead of local businessman Jim Schwartzel at 18.9% and former Illinois state senator Jim Oberweis at 11%. Madison Cawthorn trails at 10%, with state legislators Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel lower, reflecting vote fragmentation and challenges for out-of-state or non-local contenders in building Southwest Florida support ahead of the August 18 primary. Trader consensus reflects these early resource and visibility differences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Catalina Lauf 52%
吉姆·施瓦茨尔 18.9%
吉姆·奥伯韦斯 11.3%
马迪逊·考索恩 10.0%
$24,272 交易量
$24,272 交易量
2026-08-18
Catalina Lauf
52%
吉姆·施瓦茨尔
19%
吉姆·奥伯韦斯
11%
马迪逊·考索恩
10%
斯宾塞·罗奇
7%
鲍勃·罗梅尔
2%
Catalina Lauf 52%
吉姆·施瓦茨尔 18.9%
吉姆·奥伯韦斯 11.3%
马迪逊·考索恩 10.0%
$24,272 交易量
$24,272 交易量
2026-08-18
Catalina Lauf
$17,413 交易量
52%
吉姆·施瓦茨尔
$978 交易量
19%
吉姆·奥伯韦斯
$2,827 交易量
11%
马迪逊·考索恩
$1,433 交易量
10%
斯宾塞·罗奇
$702 交易量
7%
鲍勃·罗梅尔
$920 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the FL-19 Republican primary market at 52% amid a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Early fundraising momentum, including over $430,000 raised in her first quarter largely from small donors, has positioned her ahead of local businessman Jim Schwartzel at 18.9% and former Illinois state senator Jim Oberweis at 11%. Madison Cawthorn trails at 10%, with state legislators Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel lower, reflecting vote fragmentation and challenges for out-of-state or non-local contenders in building Southwest Florida support ahead of the August 18 primary. Trader consensus reflects these early resource and visibility differences.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$24,272结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the FL-19 Republican primary market at 52% amid a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Early fundraising momentum, including over $430,000 raised in her first quarter largely from small donors, has positioned her ahead of local businessman Jim Schwartzel at 18.9% and former Illinois state senator Jim Oberweis at 11%. Madison Cawthorn trails at 10%, with state legislators Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel lower, reflecting vote fragmentation and challenges for out-of-state or non-local contenders in building Southwest Florida support ahead of the August 18 primary. Trader consensus reflects these early resource and visibility differences.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,272结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the FL-19 Republican primary market at 52% amid a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Early fundraising momentum, including over $430,000 raised in her first quarter largely from small donors, has positioned her ahead of local businessman Jim Schwartzel at 18.9% and former Illinois state senator Jim Oberweis at 11%. Madison Cawthorn trails at 10%, with state legislators Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel lower, reflecting vote fragmentation and challenges for out-of-state or non-local contenders in building Southwest Florida support ahead of the August 18 primary. Trader consensus reflects these early resource and visibility differences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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