The Paraná Senate race for the second seat remains highly fragmented and uncertain, with recent July-August 2026 polls showing multiple candidates clustered within a few points of each other after any frontrunner. Álvaro Dias's early August withdrawal opened the contest further among names such as Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, and Cristina Graeml. Ongoing eligibility questions around Dallagnol, party coalition realignments, and regional voter priorities ahead of the October vote continue to prevent consolidation. Current market pricing reflects this competitive dynamic in a field where late shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the finish.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于罗辛哈医生 40%
克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔 38%
Joaquim do MLB 38%
亚历山大·库里 36%

罗辛哈医生
40%

克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔
38%

Joaquim do MLB
38%

亚历山大·库里
36%

德尔坦·达拉尼奥
36%

菲利佩·巴罗斯
36%

格莱西
36%

Karen Guerreiro
36%

马塞洛·马塞利诺
10%
罗辛哈医生 40%
克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔 38%
Joaquim do MLB 38%
亚历山大·库里 36%

罗辛哈医生
40%

克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔
38%

Joaquim do MLB
38%

亚历山大·库里
36%

德尔坦·达拉尼奥
36%

菲利佩·巴罗斯
36%

格莱西
36%

Karen Guerreiro
36%

马塞洛·马塞利诺
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná Senate race for the second seat remains highly fragmented and uncertain, with recent July-August 2026 polls showing multiple candidates clustered within a few points of each other after any frontrunner. Álvaro Dias's early August withdrawal opened the contest further among names such as Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, and Cristina Graeml. Ongoing eligibility questions around Dallagnol, party coalition realignments, and regional voter priorities ahead of the October vote continue to prevent consolidation. Current market pricing reflects this competitive dynamic in a field where late shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the finish.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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