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icon for 巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名

巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名

icon for 巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名

巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名

罗辛哈医生 40%

克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔 38%

Joaquim do MLB 38%

亚历山大·库里 36%

Polymarket
最新

罗辛哈医生 40%

克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔 38%

Joaquim do MLB 38%

亚历山大·库里 36%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 罗辛哈医生

罗辛哈医生

$0 交易量

40%

icon for 克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔

克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔

$0 交易量

38%

icon for Joaquim do MLB

Joaquim do MLB

$0 交易量

38%

icon for 亚历山大·库里

亚历山大·库里

$0 交易量

36%

icon for 德尔坦·达拉尼奥

德尔坦·达拉尼奥

$0 交易量

36%

icon for 菲利佩·巴罗斯

菲利佩·巴罗斯

$0 交易量

36%

icon for 格莱西

格莱西

$0 交易量

36%

icon for Karen Guerreiro

Karen Guerreiro

$0 交易量

36%

icon for 马塞洛·马塞利诺

马塞洛·马塞利诺

$20 交易量

10%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná Senate race for the second seat remains highly fragmented and uncertain, with recent July-August 2026 polls showing multiple candidates clustered within a few points of each other after any frontrunner. Álvaro Dias's early August withdrawal opened the contest further among names such as Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, and Cristina Graeml. Ongoing eligibility questions around Dallagnol, party coalition realignments, and regional voter priorities ahead of the October vote continue to prevent consolidation. Current market pricing reflects this competitive dynamic in a field where late shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$20
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná Senate race for the second seat remains highly fragmented and uncertain, with recent July-August 2026 polls showing multiple candidates clustered within a few points of each other after any frontrunner. Álvaro Dias's early August withdrawal opened the contest further among names such as Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, and Cristina Graeml. Ongoing eligibility questions around Dallagnol, party coalition realignments, and regional voter priorities ahead of the October vote continue to prevent consolidation. Current market pricing reflects this competitive dynamic in a field where late shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$20
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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常见问题

"巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"罗辛哈医生",概率为 40%,其次是"克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔",概率为 39%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名"的当前领先者是"罗辛哈医生",概率为 40%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔",概率为 39%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"巴拉那州参议院选举:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。