The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于牧师塞纳 43%
少校保罗·罗伯托 42%
传教士埃万德罗·克拉韦罗 42%
西罗·诺盖拉 42%

牧师塞纳
43%

少校保罗·罗伯托
42%

传教士埃万德罗·克拉韦罗
42%

西罗·诺盖拉
42%

Jardenya Bezerra
42%

佩德罗·劳伦蒂诺
42%

安东尼奥·若泽·利拉
41%

玛丽亚·马达莱娜·努内斯
41%

托因霍·杜夫兰戈
41%

弗朗西纳尔多·莱昂
41%

马塞洛·卡斯特罗
41%

乔治·洛佩斯
41%

蒂亚戈·朱克雷拉
37%

胡里奥·塞萨尔
36%

安东尼奥·巴罗斯
36%

Cloves José
36%

丹尼尔·罗查
36%

迪奥尼西奥·卡瓦略
36%

伊尔芒·埃万德罗·马尔克斯
36%

亚历山大·马里亚诺
33%
牧师塞纳 43%
少校保罗·罗伯托 42%
传教士埃万德罗·克拉韦罗 42%
西罗·诺盖拉 42%

牧师塞纳
43%

少校保罗·罗伯托
42%

传教士埃万德罗·克拉韦罗
42%

西罗·诺盖拉
42%

Jardenya Bezerra
42%

佩德罗·劳伦蒂诺
42%

安东尼奥·若泽·利拉
41%

玛丽亚·马达莱娜·努内斯
41%

托因霍·杜夫兰戈
41%

弗朗西纳尔多·莱昂
41%

马塞洛·卡斯特罗
41%

乔治·洛佩斯
41%

蒂亚戈·朱克雷拉
37%

胡里奥·塞萨尔
36%

安东尼奥·巴罗斯
36%

Cloves José
36%

丹尼尔·罗查
36%

迪奥尼西奥·卡瓦略
36%

伊尔芒·埃万德罗·马尔克斯
36%

亚历山大·马里亚诺
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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