Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for first place in the October 2026 Senate contest, leaving a fragmented race for second among Lucas Barreto, Randolfe Rodrigues, Acácio Favacho, Alliny Serrão, and several others. Stimulated surveys from July place Barreto and Randolfe in a close contest for the remaining seat, while spontaneous responses and rejection figures highlight limited consolidation behind any single challenger. With roughly seven weeks until voting, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over final alliances, turnout patterns among key blocs, and potential late shifts in candidate positioning ahead of the first-round ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷萨·弗尔兰 45%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔 37%
Capi 37%
法官Jô 37%

雷萨·弗尔兰
45%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
37%

Capi
37%

法官Jô
37%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
36%

乌兹安·平托教授
36%

兰多尔夫
36%

Alliny Serrão
34%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
33%
雷萨·弗尔兰 45%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔 37%
Capi 37%
法官Jô 37%

雷萨·弗尔兰
45%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
37%

Capi
37%

法官Jô
37%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
36%

乌兹安·平托教授
36%

兰多尔夫
36%

Alliny Serrão
34%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for first place in the October 2026 Senate contest, leaving a fragmented race for second among Lucas Barreto, Randolfe Rodrigues, Acácio Favacho, Alliny Serrão, and several others. Stimulated surveys from July place Barreto and Randolfe in a close contest for the remaining seat, while spontaneous responses and rejection figures highlight limited consolidation behind any single challenger. With roughly seven weeks until voting, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over final alliances, turnout patterns among key blocs, and potential late shifts in candidate positioning ahead of the first-round ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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