In Amapá's 2026 Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) ahead but Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Acácio Favacho (MDB), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and others clustered closely behind in stimulated scenarios. Candidate formalizations in July and August, combined with local alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest and Governor Clécio Luís's coalition, have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October election. Multiple viable contenders, undecided voters, and overlapping voter bases sustain the tight positioning, while shifts in endorsements, turnout in key municipalities, or late campaign events could consolidate support and separate the leaders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿卡西奥·法瓦乔 43%
Alliny Serrão 43%
卡皮 43%
赫利奥·席尔瓦 43%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
43%

Alliny Serrão
43%

卡皮
43%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
43%

法官Jô
43%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
43%

Rayssa Furlan
43%

乌兹安·平托教授
43%

兰多菲
43%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔 43%
Alliny Serrão 43%
卡皮 43%
赫利奥·席尔瓦 43%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
43%

Alliny Serrão
43%

卡皮
43%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
43%

法官Jô
43%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
43%

Rayssa Furlan
43%

乌兹安·平托教授
43%

兰多菲
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Amapá's 2026 Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) ahead but Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Acácio Favacho (MDB), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and others clustered closely behind in stimulated scenarios. Candidate formalizations in July and August, combined with local alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest and Governor Clécio Luís's coalition, have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October election. Multiple viable contenders, undecided voters, and overlapping voter bases sustain the tight positioning, while shifts in endorsements, turnout in key municipalities, or late campaign events could consolidate support and separate the leaders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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