The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢西亚诺·马托斯 43%
Ó Clemente 22%
安德烈·蒙泰罗 22%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卢西亚诺·马托斯
43%
Ó Clemente
22%
安德烈·蒙泰罗
22%
马塞洛·克里韦拉
21%
马科斯·迪亚斯
18%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
14%
莫妮卡·贝尼西奥
14%
Helio Secco
13%
卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
11%
佩德罗·保罗
11%
维尼修斯·贝内维德斯
11%
瓦吉尼奥
11%
Luiz Eugenio
10%
米歇利·哈维尔
8%
保拉·法尔考
7%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪
7%
卢西亚诺·马托斯 43%
Ó Clemente 22%
安德烈·蒙泰罗 22%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卢西亚诺·马托斯
$41 交易量
43%
Ó Clemente
$41 交易量
22%
安德烈·蒙泰罗
$41 交易量
22%
马塞洛·克里韦拉
$41 交易量
21%
马科斯·迪亚斯
$41 交易量
18%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
$61 交易量
14%
莫妮卡·贝尼西奥
$61 交易量
14%
Helio Secco
$62 交易量
13%
卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
$41 交易量
11%
佩德罗·保罗
$41 交易量
11%
维尼修斯·贝内维德斯
$41 交易量
11%
瓦吉尼奥
$41 交易量
11%
Luiz Eugenio
$80 交易量
10%
米歇利·哈维尔
$78 交易量
8%
保拉·法尔考
$41 交易量
7%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪
$41 交易量
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$793结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$793结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题