Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the primary contenders for third. NZ First has maintained double-digit support in most surveys through its governing coalition role and recent policy launches on immigration caps, citizenship rules, and superannuation eligibility, which have sustained visibility. The Greens have shown volatility with occasional surges above 13 percent tied to left-bloc momentum, yet trail slightly in consistent seat projections. ACT and smaller parties remain further back on current trends, making a third-place finish for them unlikely without major late shifts. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the two parties' structural positions in the MMP system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于New Zealand First Party 55%
Green Party 41%
ACT New Zealand 3.8%
National Party 3.5%
$15,189 交易量
$15,189 交易量
2026-11-06
New Zealand First Party
55%
Green Party
41%
ACT New Zealand
4%
National Party
3%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 55%
Green Party 41%
ACT New Zealand 3.8%
National Party 3.5%
$15,189 交易量
$15,189 交易量
2026-11-06
New Zealand First Party
$5,447 交易量
55%
Green Party
$6,195 交易量
41%
ACT New Zealand
$862 交易量
4%
National Party
$564 交易量
3%
Te Pāti Māori
$915 交易量
<1%
Labour Party
$1,206 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the primary contenders for third. NZ First has maintained double-digit support in most surveys through its governing coalition role and recent policy launches on immigration caps, citizenship rules, and superannuation eligibility, which have sustained visibility. The Greens have shown volatility with occasional surges above 13 percent tied to left-bloc momentum, yet trail slightly in consistent seat projections. ACT and smaller parties remain further back on current trends, making a third-place finish for them unlikely without major late shifts. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the two parties' structural positions in the MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$15,189结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETA general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the primary contenders for third. NZ First has maintained double-digit support in most surveys through its governing coalition role and recent policy launches on immigration caps, citizenship rules, and superannuation eligibility, which have sustained visibility. The Greens have shown volatility with occasional surges above 13 percent tied to left-bloc momentum, yet trail slightly in consistent seat projections. ACT and smaller parties remain further back on current trends, making a third-place finish for them unlikely without major late shifts. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the two parties' structural positions in the MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$15,189结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRecent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the primary contenders for third. NZ First has maintained double-digit support in most surveys through its governing coalition role and recent policy launches on immigration caps, citizenship rules, and superannuation eligibility, which have sustained visibility. The Greens have shown volatility with occasional surges above 13 percent tied to left-bloc momentum, yet trail slightly in consistent seat projections. ACT and smaller parties remain further back on current trends, making a third-place finish for them unlikely without major late shifts. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the two parties' structural positions in the MMP system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于相关
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