Somaliland's parliamentary election has faced repeated delays due to institutional term extensions approved by the House of Elders, most recently in April 2026, which pushed the vote for the 82-seat House of Representatives beyond the prior May 2026 target and aligned it with a 2027 timeline. This procedural extension, amid ongoing negotiations among the three registered parties—Waddani, UCID, and Kulmiye—underpins the market's strong consensus favoring no election before 2027. Historical patterns of postponements tied to electoral commission disputes, voter registration challenges, and coalition dynamics further reinforce trader assessments. Scenarios that could alter this include swift resolution of remaining administrative hurdles or an unexpected early agreement among political actors, though such shifts remain limited by constitutional requirements and the current institutional calendar.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 95%
瓦达尼 2.7%
正义与福利党（UCID） 1.4%
库尔米耶 <1%
$94,145 交易量
$94,145 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前没有选举
95%
瓦达尼
3%
正义与福利党（UCID）
1%
库尔米耶
1%
2027年前没有选举 95%
瓦达尼 2.7%
正义与福利党（UCID） 1.4%
库尔米耶 <1%
$94,145 交易量
$94,145 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前没有选举
$84,417 交易量
95%
瓦达尼
$2,522 交易量
3%
正义与福利党（UCID）
$4,193 交易量
1%
库尔米耶
$3,013 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary election has faced repeated delays due to institutional term extensions approved by the House of Elders, most recently in April 2026, which pushed the vote for the 82-seat House of Representatives beyond the prior May 2026 target and aligned it with a 2027 timeline. This procedural extension, amid ongoing negotiations among the three registered parties—Waddani, UCID, and Kulmiye—underpins the market's strong consensus favoring no election before 2027. Historical patterns of postponements tied to electoral commission disputes, voter registration challenges, and coalition dynamics further reinforce trader assessments. Scenarios that could alter this include swift resolution of remaining administrative hurdles or an unexpected early agreement among political actors, though such shifts remain limited by constitutional requirements and the current institutional calendar.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$94,145结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary election has faced repeated delays due to institutional term extensions approved by the House of Elders, most recently in April 2026, which pushed the vote for the 82-seat House of Representatives beyond the prior May 2026 target and aligned it with a 2027 timeline. This procedural extension, amid ongoing negotiations among the three registered parties—Waddani, UCID, and Kulmiye—underpins the market's strong consensus favoring no election before 2027. Historical patterns of postponements tied to electoral commission disputes, voter registration challenges, and coalition dynamics further reinforce trader assessments. Scenarios that could alter this include swift resolution of remaining administrative hurdles or an unexpected early agreement among political actors, though such shifts remain limited by constitutional requirements and the current institutional calendar.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$94,145结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary election has faced repeated delays due to institutional term extensions approved by the House of Elders, most recently in April 2026, which pushed the vote for the 82-seat House of Representatives beyond the prior May 2026 target and aligned it with a 2027 timeline. This procedural extension, amid ongoing negotiations among the three registered parties—Waddani, UCID, and Kulmiye—underpins the market's strong consensus favoring no election before 2027. Historical patterns of postponements tied to electoral commission disputes, voter registration challenges, and coalition dynamics further reinforce trader assessments. Scenarios that could alter this include swift resolution of remaining administrative hurdles or an unexpected early agreement among political actors, though such shifts remain limited by constitutional requirements and the current institutional calendar.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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