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icon for 格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?

格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?

icon for 格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?

格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?

11% 概率
Polymarket
最新

11% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s current coalition government, formed after the March 2025 Inatsisartut election and led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats alongside Inuit Ataqatigiit and Atassut, continues without reported loss of majority or internal collapse. Recent diplomatic activity, including the September 2026 security agreement with the United States and Denmark plus EU investment commitments, has centered on the existing leadership rather than triggering procedural crises. No confidence votes, resignations, or major scandals have emerged in the past several months to prompt an early dissolution under Greenland’s parliamentary rules. With the next scheduled election set for 2029 and the administration focused on sovereignty-preserving international pacts, traders assign low probability to a snap call by December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,162
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s current coalition government, formed after the March 2025 Inatsisartut election and led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats alongside Inuit Ataqatigiit and Atassut, continues without reported loss of majority or internal collapse. Recent diplomatic activity, including the September 2026 security agreement with the United States and Denmark plus EU investment commitments, has centered on the existing leadership rather than triggering procedural crises. No confidence votes, resignations, or major scandals have emerged in the past several months to prompt an early dissolution under Greenland’s parliamentary rules. With the next scheduled election set for 2029 and the administration focused on sovereignty-preserving international pacts, traders assign low probability to a snap call by December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,162
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"格陵兰是否会在12月31日前宣布提前大选?",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 18, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"格陵兰在12月31日之前提前举行选举?"的当前领先者是"格陵兰是否会在12月31日前宣布提前大选?",概率为 11%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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