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icon for 马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?

马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?

icon for 马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?

马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?

21% 概率
Polymarket
最新

21% 概率
Polymarket
最新
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).**Massachusetts voters will decide Question 3 on November 3, 2026, which would replace separate partisan primaries with a single all-party primary where the top two vote-getters advance to the general election.** The measure cleared its final legal hurdle in June 2026 when the Supreme Judicial Court rejected challenges from Democratic Party officials and certified it for the ballot. Both major parties, the Massachusetts Democratic Party, multiple unions, and over two dozen state lawmakers have formed a coordinated “No on 3” campaign, citing risks of reduced party influence, same-party general-election matchups in the heavily Democratic state, and greater donor sway. Supporters, including some moderate Democrats and former officials, argue the change could boost competition and turnout, but recent voter guides and endorsement activity show organized institutional resistance dominating the final stretch. Trader pricing reflects this entrenched opposition ahead of the vote.

Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).
交易量
$5
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).**Massachusetts voters will decide Question 3 on November 3, 2026, which would replace separate partisan primaries with a single all-party primary where the top two vote-getters advance to the general election.** The measure cleared its final legal hurdle in June 2026 when the Supreme Judicial Court rejected challenges from Democratic Party officials and certified it for the ballot. Both major parties, the Massachusetts Democratic Party, multiple unions, and over two dozen state lawmakers have formed a coordinated “No on 3” campaign, citing risks of reduced party influence, same-party general-election matchups in the heavily Democratic state, and greater donor sway. Supporters, including some moderate Democrats and former officials, argue the change could boost competition and turnout, but recent voter guides and endorsement activity show organized institutional resistance dominating the final stretch. Trader pricing reflects this entrenched opposition ahead of the vote.

Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).
交易量
$5
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

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"马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选投票措施了吗?",概率为 36%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 36¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 36%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 15, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选?"的当前领先者是"马萨诸塞州通过丛林初选投票措施了吗?",概率为 36%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 36%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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