Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 55.9% of the vote against Republican Armen Kurdian at 26.1%, setting up a November general election in a district that leans Democratic based on voter registration and recent presidential results. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Levin's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Kurdian's under $60,000, and the absence of major competitive threats. Trader consensus pricing Levin near 95% aligns with this structural position, though shifts could occur from broader national political changes or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,210 交易量
$28,210 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·莱文（民主党）
96%
阿门·库迪安（共和党）
4%
$28,210 交易量
$28,210 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·莱文（民主党）
$19,762 交易量
96%
阿门·库迪安（共和党）
$8,448 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 55.9% of the vote against Republican Armen Kurdian at 26.1%, setting up a November general election in a district that leans Democratic based on voter registration and recent presidential results. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Levin's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Kurdian's under $60,000, and the absence of major competitive threats. Trader consensus pricing Levin near 95% aligns with this structural position, though shifts could occur from broader national political changes or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$28,210结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 55.9% of the vote against Republican Armen Kurdian at 26.1%, setting up a November general election in a district that leans Democratic based on voter registration and recent presidential results. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Levin's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Kurdian's under $60,000, and the absence of major competitive threats. Trader consensus pricing Levin near 95% aligns with this structural position, though shifts could occur from broader national political changes or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,210结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 55.9% of the vote against Republican Armen Kurdian at 26.1%, setting up a November general election in a district that leans Democratic based on voter registration and recent presidential results. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Levin's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Kurdian's under $60,000, and the absence of major competitive threats. Trader consensus pricing Levin near 95% aligns with this structural position, though shifts could occur from broader national political changes or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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