Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 49th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican challengers and setting up a November 3 general election matchup. The district's Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan voting indices around D+7, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5 percent. Limited recent developments beyond the primary have reinforced this positioning, with no major shifts in candidate viability or external events reported in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a significant national political realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong performance by the Republican nominee in the remaining campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,624 交易量
93%
共和党
$789 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 49th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican challengers and setting up a November 3 general election matchup. The district's Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan voting indices around D+7, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5 percent. Limited recent developments beyond the primary have reinforced this positioning, with no major shifts in candidate viability or external events reported in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a significant national political realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong performance by the Republican nominee in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,413结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 49th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican challengers and setting up a November 3 general election matchup. The district's Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan voting indices around D+7, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5 percent. Limited recent developments beyond the primary have reinforced this positioning, with no major shifts in candidate viability or external events reported in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a significant national political realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong performance by the Republican nominee in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,413结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 49th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican challengers and setting up a November 3 general election matchup. The district's Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan voting indices around D+7, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5 percent. Limited recent developments beyond the primary have reinforced this positioning, with no major shifts in candidate viability or external events reported in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a significant national political realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong performance by the Republican nominee in the remaining campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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