The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,652 交易量
$12,652 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
86%
共和党
15%
$12,652 交易量
$12,652 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,389 交易量
86%
共和党
$6,262 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,652结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,652结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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