Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz holds a commanding position in California's 25th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past performance for the party. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by Ruiz's recent primary performance where he advanced as the top vote-getter against Republican challengers including Joe Males. The June 2 primary results and structural district factors underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from a significant national political realignment, a major development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,807 交易量
91%
共和党
$670 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz holds a commanding position in California's 25th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past performance for the party. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by Ruiz's recent primary performance where he advanced as the top vote-getter against Republican challengers including Joe Males. The June 2 primary results and structural district factors underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from a significant national political realignment, a major development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$3,478结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz holds a commanding position in California's 25th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past performance for the party. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by Ruiz's recent primary performance where he advanced as the top vote-getter against Republican challengers including Joe Males. The June 2 primary results and structural district factors underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from a significant national political realignment, a major development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,478结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz holds a commanding position in California's 25th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past performance for the party. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by Ruiz's recent primary performance where he advanced as the top vote-getter against Republican challengers including Joe Males. The June 2 primary results and structural district factors underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from a significant national political realignment, a major development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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