California's 25th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+3. Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing against a Republican challenger for the November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Ruiz's prior victories. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome incorporates these structural factors alongside low Republican registration and turnout patterns. A major shift would require unexpected national conditions altering local voting behavior or a significant scandal affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,671 交易量
91%
共和党
$615 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 25th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+3. Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing against a Republican challenger for the November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Ruiz's prior victories. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome incorporates these structural factors alongside low Republican registration and turnout patterns. A major shift would require unexpected national conditions altering local voting behavior or a significant scandal affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$3,287结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 25th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+3. Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing against a Republican challenger for the November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Ruiz's prior victories. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome incorporates these structural factors alongside low Republican registration and turnout patterns. A major shift would require unexpected national conditions altering local voting behavior or a significant scandal affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,287结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 25th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+3. Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing against a Republican challenger for the November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Ruiz's prior victories. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome incorporates these structural factors alongside low Republican registration and turnout patterns. A major shift would require unexpected national conditions altering local voting behavior or a significant scandal affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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