California's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and demographic makeup in the Sacramento region. This structural positioning supports the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November general election. Recent primary outcomes and candidate field dynamics have reinforced expectations of continuity rather than upheaval. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout among opposing voters could narrow the gap, historical patterns in comparable California districts indicate limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory under prevailing conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,768 交易量
$31,768 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$31,768 交易量
$31,768 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,101 交易量
96%
共和党
$20,667 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and demographic makeup in the Sacramento region. This structural positioning supports the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November general election. Recent primary outcomes and candidate field dynamics have reinforced expectations of continuity rather than upheaval. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout among opposing voters could narrow the gap, historical patterns in comparable California districts indicate limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$31,768结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and demographic makeup in the Sacramento region. This structural positioning supports the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November general election. Recent primary outcomes and candidate field dynamics have reinforced expectations of continuity rather than upheaval. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout among opposing voters could narrow the gap, historical patterns in comparable California districts indicate limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,768结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and demographic makeup in the Sacramento region. This structural positioning supports the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November general election. Recent primary outcomes and candidate field dynamics have reinforced expectations of continuity rather than upheaval. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout among opposing voters could narrow the gap, historical patterns in comparable California districts indicate limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory under prevailing conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题