California’s 6th congressional district maintains a structural Democratic advantage in general elections, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic nominee advancing from the June 2 jungle primary and prevailing in November. Recent redistricting and the relocation of prior incumbent Ami Bera created an open seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary contenders alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched affiliation after representing an adjacent district. Early primary returns showed Kiley leading, followed closely by Democrat Richard Pan and Republican Michael Stansfield, with additional ballots expected to favor Democrats. In the November general election between the top two finishers, the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit Republican or independent paths to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,876 交易量
$31,876 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$31,876 交易量
$31,876 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,201 交易量
95%
共和党
$20,676 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 6th congressional district maintains a structural Democratic advantage in general elections, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic nominee advancing from the June 2 jungle primary and prevailing in November. Recent redistricting and the relocation of prior incumbent Ami Bera created an open seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary contenders alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched affiliation after representing an adjacent district. Early primary returns showed Kiley leading, followed closely by Democrat Richard Pan and Republican Michael Stansfield, with additional ballots expected to favor Democrats. In the November general election between the top two finishers, the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit Republican or independent paths to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$31,876结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 6th congressional district maintains a structural Democratic advantage in general elections, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic nominee advancing from the June 2 jungle primary and prevailing in November. Recent redistricting and the relocation of prior incumbent Ami Bera created an open seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary contenders alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched affiliation after representing an adjacent district. Early primary returns showed Kiley leading, followed closely by Democrat Richard Pan and Republican Michael Stansfield, with additional ballots expected to favor Democrats. In the November general election between the top two finishers, the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit Republican or independent paths to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,876结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 6th congressional district maintains a structural Democratic advantage in general elections, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic nominee advancing from the June 2 jungle primary and prevailing in November. Recent redistricting and the relocation of prior incumbent Ami Bera created an open seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary contenders alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched affiliation after representing an adjacent district. Early primary returns showed Kiley leading, followed closely by Democrat Richard Pan and Republican Michael Stansfield, with additional ballots expected to favor Democrats. In the November general election between the top two finishers, the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit Republican or independent paths to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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