The district's established Republican lean, rated Solid Republican by forecasters with an R+8 to R+10 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82%. Incumbent Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2 primary with over 60% of the vote against limited opposition and now faces Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. Historical voting patterns across Central Valley and Sierra foothill areas, combined with no major redistricting changes or credible Democratic challengers emerging, sustain the positioning. The 17% Democratic share reflects only remote national midterm variables that could narrow margins, while structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
82%
民主党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,894 交易量
82%
民主党
$1,496 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's established Republican lean, rated Solid Republican by forecasters with an R+8 to R+10 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82%. Incumbent Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2 primary with over 60% of the vote against limited opposition and now faces Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. Historical voting patterns across Central Valley and Sierra foothill areas, combined with no major redistricting changes or credible Democratic challengers emerging, sustain the positioning. The 17% Democratic share reflects only remote national midterm variables that could narrow margins, while structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$5,390结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's established Republican lean, rated Solid Republican by forecasters with an R+8 to R+10 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82%. Incumbent Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2 primary with over 60% of the vote against limited opposition and now faces Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. Historical voting patterns across Central Valley and Sierra foothill areas, combined with no major redistricting changes or credible Democratic challengers emerging, sustain the positioning. The 17% Democratic share reflects only remote national midterm variables that could narrow margins, while structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,390结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's established Republican lean, rated Solid Republican by forecasters with an R+8 to R+10 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82%. Incumbent Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2 primary with over 60% of the vote against limited opposition and now faces Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. Historical voting patterns across Central Valley and Sierra foothill areas, combined with no major redistricting changes or credible Democratic challengers emerging, sustain the positioning. The 17% Democratic share reflects only remote national midterm variables that could narrow margins, while structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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