Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary in California's 5th congressional district to face Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. McClintock's long tenure since 2009 and lack of significant primary opposition reinforce this positioning, while the Democratic challenger faces structural headwinds typical in such districts. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,895 交易量
81%
民主党
$1,496 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary in California's 5th congressional district to face Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. McClintock's long tenure since 2009 and lack of significant primary opposition reinforce this positioning, while the Democratic challenger faces structural headwinds typical in such districts. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$5,391结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary in California's 5th congressional district to face Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. McClintock's long tenure since 2009 and lack of significant primary opposition reinforce this positioning, while the Democratic challenger faces structural headwinds typical in such districts. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,391结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary in California's 5th congressional district to face Democrat Michael Masuda in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. McClintock's long tenure since 2009 and lack of significant primary opposition reinforce this positioning, while the Democratic challenger faces structural headwinds typical in such districts. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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