The Republican Party holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the FL-06 House race due to the district's strong partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election by double digits. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent cycles and the broader 24-4 GOP advantage projected for Florida's House delegation. A crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, precedes the November general, yet Democratic contenders face structural barriers including voter registration gaps and turnout patterns favoring the majority party. Late developments such as an unusually strong primary upset or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility through election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$913 交易量
93%
民主党
$1,478 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the FL-06 House race due to the district's strong partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election by double digits. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent cycles and the broader 24-4 GOP advantage projected for Florida's House delegation. A crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, precedes the November general, yet Democratic contenders face structural barriers including voter registration gaps and turnout patterns favoring the majority party. Late developments such as an unusually strong primary upset or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$2,391结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the FL-06 House race due to the district's strong partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election by double digits. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent cycles and the broader 24-4 GOP advantage projected for Florida's House delegation. A crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, precedes the November general, yet Democratic contenders face structural barriers including voter registration gaps and turnout patterns favoring the majority party. Late developments such as an unusually strong primary upset or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,391结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the FL-06 House race due to the district's strong partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election by double digits. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent cycles and the broader 24-4 GOP advantage projected for Florida's House delegation. A crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, precedes the November general, yet Democratic contenders face structural barriers including voter registration gaps and turnout patterns favoring the majority party. Late developments such as an unusually strong primary upset or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility through election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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