Florida's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the seat in a 2025 special election and faces a Republican primary on August 18, 2026, ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have emerged, including Jennifer Jenkins, yet the district's voting patterns and structural advantages sustain the wide gap in trader pricing. Late-cycle national shifts, primary surprises, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates for similar seats limit the likelihood of an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
93%
民主党
8%
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the seat in a 2025 special election and faces a Republican primary on August 18, 2026, ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have emerged, including Jennifer Jenkins, yet the district's voting patterns and structural advantages sustain the wide gap in trader pricing. Late-cycle national shifts, primary surprises, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates for similar seats limit the likelihood of an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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