The Republican Party holds a 73.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the presence of an incumbent seeking re-election. Recent developments include multiple ethics investigations and personal allegations against Rep. Cory Mills, prompting rating shifts by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections toward a more competitive outlook and increased Democratic targeting. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties ahead of the November general election, with fundraising activity and opposition research focusing on Mills’ vulnerabilities. These factors have narrowed the gap relative to safer Republican seats while the underlying district composition continues to support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,605 交易量
$11,605 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
67%
民主党
44%
$11,605 交易量
$11,605 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,636 交易量
67%
民主党
$5,969 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 73.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the presence of an incumbent seeking re-election. Recent developments include multiple ethics investigations and personal allegations against Rep. Cory Mills, prompting rating shifts by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections toward a more competitive outlook and increased Democratic targeting. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties ahead of the November general election, with fundraising activity and opposition research focusing on Mills’ vulnerabilities. These factors have narrowed the gap relative to safer Republican seats while the underlying district composition continues to support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$11,605结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 73.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the presence of an incumbent seeking re-election. Recent developments include multiple ethics investigations and personal allegations against Rep. Cory Mills, prompting rating shifts by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections toward a more competitive outlook and increased Democratic targeting. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties ahead of the November general election, with fundraising activity and opposition research focusing on Mills’ vulnerabilities. These factors have narrowed the gap relative to safer Republican seats while the underlying district composition continues to support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,605结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 73.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the presence of an incumbent seeking re-election. Recent developments include multiple ethics investigations and personal allegations against Rep. Cory Mills, prompting rating shifts by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections toward a more competitive outlook and increased Democratic targeting. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 primaries in both parties ahead of the November general election, with fundraising activity and opposition research focusing on Mills’ vulnerabilities. These factors have narrowed the gap relative to safer Republican seats while the underlying district composition continues to support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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