South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index of R+6 and a 13-point Trump margin in 2024, driving the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5% versus 31% for Democrats. The open race follows incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to pursue the governorship, prompting a crowded June 9 primary where Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advanced to the June 23 Republican runoff while Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford head to the Democratic contest. Analysts rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited competitiveness across South Carolina's House map. Primary turnout patterns and candidate positioning on affordability and fiscal issues in the Lowcountry will shape the final nominees ahead of the fall ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,026 交易量
$39,026 交易量
共和党
68%
民主党
31%
$39,026 交易量
$39,026 交易量
共和党
68%
民主党
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index of R+6 and a 13-point Trump margin in 2024, driving the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5% versus 31% for Democrats. The open race follows incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to pursue the governorship, prompting a crowded June 9 primary where Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advanced to the June 23 Republican runoff while Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford head to the Democratic contest. Analysts rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited competitiveness across South Carolina's House map. Primary turnout patterns and candidate positioning on affordability and fiscal issues in the Lowcountry will shape the final nominees ahead of the fall ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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