**Republican candidates hold a strong position in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and its 13-point Trump margin in 2024.** The seat became open after Republican incumbent Nancy Mace opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Lowcountry district’s consistent GOP performance outside one Democratic hold in 2018. Primaries held June 9 produced no outright nominees, sending Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to a June 23 Republican runoff and Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore to the Democratic runoff. The crowded fields and subsequent narrowing have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. With early voting, absentee ballots, and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in this battleground-leaning but reliably red district, trader consensus continues to price in a Republican victory as the most probable outcome while leaving room for any late-cycle shifts in candidate strength or national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,026 交易量
$39,026 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
68%
民主党
31%
$39,026 交易量
$39,026 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,266 交易量
68%
民主党
$31,760 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican candidates hold a strong position in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and its 13-point Trump margin in 2024.** The seat became open after Republican incumbent Nancy Mace opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Lowcountry district’s consistent GOP performance outside one Democratic hold in 2018.
Primaries held June 9 produced no outright nominees, sending Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to a June 23 Republican runoff and Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore to the Democratic runoff. The crowded fields and subsequent narrowing have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. With early voting, absentee ballots, and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in this battleground-leaning but reliably red district, trader consensus continues to price in a Republican victory as the most probable outcome while leaving room for any late-cycle shifts in candidate strength or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$39,026结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican candidates hold a strong position in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and its 13-point Trump margin in 2024.** The seat became open after Republican incumbent Nancy Mace opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Lowcountry district’s consistent GOP performance outside one Democratic hold in 2018.
Primaries held June 9 produced no outright nominees, sending Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to a June 23 Republican runoff and Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore to the Democratic runoff. The crowded fields and subsequent narrowing have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. With early voting, absentee ballots, and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in this battleground-leaning but reliably red district, trader consensus continues to price in a Republican victory as the most probable outcome while leaving room for any late-cycle shifts in candidate strength or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,026结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican candidates hold a strong position in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and its 13-point Trump margin in 2024.** The seat became open after Republican incumbent Nancy Mace opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Lowcountry district’s consistent GOP performance outside one Democratic hold in 2018. Primaries held June 9 produced no outright nominees, sending Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to a June 23 Republican runoff and Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore to the Democratic runoff. The crowded fields and subsequent narrowing have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. With early voting, absentee ballots, and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in this battleground-leaning but reliably red district, trader consensus continues to price in a Republican victory as the most probable outcome while leaving room for any late-cycle shifts in candidate strength or national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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