South Carolina's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs won the seat in 2024 with over 71% of the vote and faces a Democratic challenger after the June 9 primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns in the northwestern Piedmont counties and limited crossover support in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly situated districts, where Republican nominees have prevailed by wide margins absent extraordinary events. A realistic path to a Democratic gain would require a major scandal, incumbent withdrawal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's structural tilt before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,843 交易量
$11,843 交易量
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$11,843 交易量
$11,843 交易量
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs won the seat in 2024 with over 71% of the vote and faces a Democratic challenger after the June 9 primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns in the northwestern Piedmont counties and limited crossover support in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly situated districts, where Republican nominees have prevailed by wide margins absent extraordinary events. A realistic path to a Democratic gain would require a major scandal, incumbent withdrawal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's structural tilt before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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