Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th congressional district in the March 2026 primary following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement, positioning the Evanston mayor against Republican John Elleson in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 19 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and precinct-level modeling projects Biss prevailing by more than 30 points in nearly all simulations. A commanding lead this close to Election Day leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,625 交易量
$31,625 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$31,625 交易量
$31,625 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$17,371 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,254 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th congressional district in the March 2026 primary following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement, positioning the Evanston mayor against Republican John Elleson in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 19 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and precinct-level modeling projects Biss prevailing by more than 30 points in nearly all simulations. A commanding lead this close to Election Day leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$31,625结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th congressional district in the March 2026 primary following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement, positioning the Evanston mayor against Republican John Elleson in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 19 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and precinct-level modeling projects Biss prevailing by more than 30 points in nearly all simulations. A commanding lead this close to Election Day leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,625结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDaniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th congressional district in the March 2026 primary following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement, positioning the Evanston mayor against Republican John Elleson in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 19 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and precinct-level modeling projects Biss prevailing by more than 30 points in nearly all simulations. A commanding lead this close to Election Day leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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