The open IL-09 seat, vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement announcement, features a district with a consistent D+19 partisan lean rooted in Chicago-area demographics and voting history. Daniel K. Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, while Republican John Elleson emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's structural advantages, including party registration edges, fundraising disparities, and the absence of recent competitive general election results. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout by November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,266 交易量
$23,266 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$23,266 交易量
$23,266 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,765 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,502 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open IL-09 seat, vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement announcement, features a district with a consistent D+19 partisan lean rooted in Chicago-area demographics and voting history. Daniel K. Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, while Republican John Elleson emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's structural advantages, including party registration edges, fundraising disparities, and the absence of recent competitive general election results. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout by November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$23,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open IL-09 seat, vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement announcement, features a district with a consistent D+19 partisan lean rooted in Chicago-area demographics and voting history. Daniel K. Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, while Republican John Elleson emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's structural advantages, including party registration edges, fundraising disparities, and the absence of recent competitive general election results. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout by November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open IL-09 seat, vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement announcement, features a district with a consistent D+19 partisan lean rooted in Chicago-area demographics and voting history. Daniel K. Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, while Republican John Elleson emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's structural advantages, including party registration edges, fundraising disparities, and the absence of recent competitive general election results. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout by November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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