California voters will decide Proposition 43 on November 3, 2026, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require two-thirds voter approval for citizen-initiated local special taxes starting in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed special taxes. The measure emerged from a June 2026 compromise between Democratic lawmakers and the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association that removed a stricter initiative from the ballot while preserving core taxpayer protections from Proposition 13. Public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts oppose the change, arguing it constrains revenue for services, while taxpayer groups and business interests back it for greater consistency and restraint on new levies. With hundreds of local tax measures appearing on November ballots, the contest remains closely balanced, and shifts in campaign spending, endorsements, or polling on local control versus fiscal limits could move the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
49% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
49% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters will decide Proposition 43 on November 3, 2026, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require two-thirds voter approval for citizen-initiated local special taxes starting in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed special taxes. The measure emerged from a June 2026 compromise between Democratic lawmakers and the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association that removed a stricter initiative from the ballot while preserving core taxpayer protections from Proposition 13. Public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts oppose the change, arguing it constrains revenue for services, while taxpayer groups and business interests back it for greater consistency and restraint on new levies. With hundreds of local tax measures appearing on November ballots, the contest remains closely balanced, and shifts in campaign spending, endorsements, or polling on local control versus fiscal limits could move the implied probabilities.
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$3,120结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETProposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters will decide Proposition 43 on November 3, 2026, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require two-thirds voter approval for citizen-initiated local special taxes starting in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed special taxes. The measure emerged from a June 2026 compromise between Democratic lawmakers and the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association that removed a stricter initiative from the ballot while preserving core taxpayer protections from Proposition 13. Public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts oppose the change, arguing it constrains revenue for services, while taxpayer groups and business interests back it for greater consistency and restraint on new levies. With hundreds of local tax measures appearing on November ballots, the contest remains closely balanced, and shifts in campaign spending, endorsements, or polling on local control versus fiscal limits could move the implied probabilities.
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
交易量
$3,120结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETCalifornia voters will decide Proposition 43 on November 3, 2026, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require two-thirds voter approval for citizen-initiated local special taxes starting in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed special taxes. The measure emerged from a June 2026 compromise between Democratic lawmakers and the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association that removed a stricter initiative from the ballot while preserving core taxpayer protections from Proposition 13. Public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts oppose the change, arguing it constrains revenue for services, while taxpayer groups and business interests back it for greater consistency and restraint on new levies. With hundreds of local tax measures appearing on November ballots, the contest remains closely balanced, and shifts in campaign spending, endorsements, or polling on local control versus fiscal limits could move the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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