California Proposition 3 would amend the state constitution to permanently extend the top marginal income tax rates on high earners—ranging from 10.3% to 12.3% for single filers above roughly $361,000 or joint filers above $721,000—that voters approved in 2012 and extended through 2030 via the 2016 measure. The rates generate $5–15 billion annually, with 89% directed to K–12 schools and community colleges. The initiative qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in June after collecting signatures, backed primarily by the California Teachers Association and allied education unions. Prior extensions passed by widening margins with minimal organized opposition, as the change locks in existing revenue rather than creating new brackets, supporting current trader consensus around a 68% likelihood of approval.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California Proposition 3 would amend the state constitution to permanently extend the top marginal income tax rates on high earners—ranging from 10.3% to 12.3% for single filers above roughly $361,000 or joint filers above $721,000—that voters approved in 2012 and extended through 2030 via the 2016 measure. The rates generate $5–15 billion annually, with 89% directed to K–12 schools and community colleges. The initiative qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in June after collecting signatures, backed primarily by the California Teachers Association and allied education unions. Prior extensions passed by widening margins with minimal organized opposition, as the change locks in existing revenue rather than creating new brackets, supporting current trader consensus around a 68% likelihood of approval.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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