Recent polls show the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida's 25th congressional district tightening into a statistical tie between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, with roughly 20 percent of voters undecided. Larkin has narrowed earlier double-digit deficits through strong performance among those who have not yet voted, while Moskowitz retains an edge among early voters. Substantial outside spending and debates over policy differences, including foreign policy and progressive priorities, have sustained uncertainty about the final margin. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with elevated probabilities on narrow or undecided outcomes and lower odds on decisive victories for either candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫斯科维茨 <5% 21%
拉金 <5% 21%
莫斯科维茨15-20% 21%
莫斯科维茨 10–15% 21%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
莫斯科维茨25%+
40%
莫斯科维茨20-25%
32%
莫斯科维茨15-20%
21%
莫斯科维茨 10–15%
21%
莫斯科维茨5-10%
21%
莫斯科维茨 <5%
21%
拉金 <5%
21%
拉金5–10%
12%
拉金10-15%
21%
拉金15–20%
21%
拉金20–25%
10%
拉金25%+
1%
莫斯科维茨 <5% 21%
拉金 <5% 21%
莫斯科维茨15-20% 21%
莫斯科维茨 10–15% 21%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
莫斯科维茨25%+
$51 交易量
40%
莫斯科维茨20-25%
$58 交易量
32%
莫斯科维茨15-20%
$31 交易量
21%
莫斯科维茨 10–15%
$31 交易量
21%
莫斯科维茨5-10%
$15 交易量
21%
莫斯科维茨 <5%
$31 交易量
21%
拉金 <5%
$31 交易量
21%
拉金5–10%
$31 交易量
12%
拉金10-15%
$31 交易量
21%
拉金15–20%
$31 交易量
21%
拉金20–25%
$31 交易量
10%
拉金25%+
$119 交易量
1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida's 25th congressional district tightening into a statistical tie between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, with roughly 20 percent of voters undecided. Larkin has narrowed earlier double-digit deficits through strong performance among those who have not yet voted, while Moskowitz retains an edge among early voters. Substantial outside spending and debates over policy differences, including foreign policy and progressive priorities, have sustained uncertainty about the final margin. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with elevated probabilities on narrow or undecided outcomes and lower odds on decisive victories for either candidate.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$494结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida's 25th congressional district tightening into a statistical tie between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, with roughly 20 percent of voters undecided. Larkin has narrowed earlier double-digit deficits through strong performance among those who have not yet voted, while Moskowitz retains an edge among early voters. Substantial outside spending and debates over policy differences, including foreign policy and progressive priorities, have sustained uncertainty about the final margin. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with elevated probabilities on narrow or undecided outcomes and lower odds on decisive victories for either candidate.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$494结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida's 25th congressional district tightening into a statistical tie between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, with roughly 20 percent of voters undecided. Larkin has narrowed earlier double-digit deficits through strong performance among those who have not yet voted, while Moskowitz retains an edge among early voters. Substantial outside spending and debates over policy differences, including foreign policy and progressive priorities, have sustained uncertainty about the final margin. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with elevated probabilities on narrow or undecided outcomes and lower odds on decisive victories for either candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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