California's Proposition 37, a citizen-initiated statute on the November 2026 ballot, would authorize the California Housing Finance Agency to issue up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a second-mortgage loan program covering as much as 17% of the purchase price on qualifying new homes. Eligible buyers, defined as state residents earning at or below 200% of area median income who contribute at least a 3% down payment, would pair the assistance with a conventional first mortgage. Early PPIC polling from May 2026 showed 53% support, reflecting broad voter concern over housing costs but tempered by questions about the scale of new state borrowing and repayment through homeowner mortgage payments. The measure's slight edge in trader consensus aligns with this narrow polling margin, as competing priorities among multiple housing-related propositions and debates over targeting new construction versus broader affordability measures keep the outcome closely balanced. Additional polling releases, campaign finance disclosures, or shifts in economic conditions could alter positioning ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
67% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
67% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Proposition 37 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would create a $25 billion mortgage loan program for home buyers who make less than 200% of the area median income.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California's Proposition 37, a citizen-initiated statute on the November 2026 ballot, would authorize the California Housing Finance Agency to issue up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a second-mortgage loan program covering as much as 17% of the purchase price on qualifying new homes. Eligible buyers, defined as state residents earning at or below 200% of area median income who contribute at least a 3% down payment, would pair the assistance with a conventional first mortgage. Early PPIC polling from May 2026 showed 53% support, reflecting broad voter concern over housing costs but tempered by questions about the scale of new state borrowing and repayment through homeowner mortgage payments. The measure's slight edge in trader consensus aligns with this narrow polling margin, as competing priorities among multiple housing-related propositions and debates over targeting new construction versus broader affordability measures keep the outcome closely balanced. Additional polling releases, campaign finance disclosures, or shifts in economic conditions could alter positioning ahead of the vote.
Proposition 37 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would create a $25 billion mortgage loan program for home buyers who make less than 200% of the area median income.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,770结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 37 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would create a $25 billion mortgage loan program for home buyers who make less than 200% of the area median income.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California's Proposition 37, a citizen-initiated statute on the November 2026 ballot, would authorize the California Housing Finance Agency to issue up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a second-mortgage loan program covering as much as 17% of the purchase price on qualifying new homes. Eligible buyers, defined as state residents earning at or below 200% of area median income who contribute at least a 3% down payment, would pair the assistance with a conventional first mortgage. Early PPIC polling from May 2026 showed 53% support, reflecting broad voter concern over housing costs but tempered by questions about the scale of new state borrowing and repayment through homeowner mortgage payments. The measure's slight edge in trader consensus aligns with this narrow polling margin, as competing priorities among multiple housing-related propositions and debates over targeting new construction versus broader affordability measures keep the outcome closely balanced. Additional polling releases, campaign finance disclosures, or shifts in economic conditions could alter positioning ahead of the vote.
Proposition 37 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would create a $25 billion mortgage loan program for home buyers who make less than 200% of the area median income.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
交易量
$2,770结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's Proposition 37, a citizen-initiated statute on the November 2026 ballot, would authorize the California Housing Finance Agency to issue up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a second-mortgage loan program covering as much as 17% of the purchase price on qualifying new homes. Eligible buyers, defined as state residents earning at or below 200% of area median income who contribute at least a 3% down payment, would pair the assistance with a conventional first mortgage. Early PPIC polling from May 2026 showed 53% support, reflecting broad voter concern over housing costs but tempered by questions about the scale of new state borrowing and repayment through homeowner mortgage payments. The measure's slight edge in trader consensus aligns with this narrow polling margin, as competing priorities among multiple housing-related propositions and debates over targeting new construction versus broader affordability measures keep the outcome closely balanced. Additional polling releases, campaign finance disclosures, or shifts in economic conditions could alter positioning ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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