Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$553,083 交易量
$553,083 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
64%
共和党
37%
$553,083 交易量
$553,083 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$338,877 交易量
64%
共和党
$214,206 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$553,083结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$553,083结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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